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Dynamo Kyiv vs Rukh Vynnyky — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
FT
0 – 0
Rukh Vynnyky
Rukh Vynnyky
5/22/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Dynamo Kyiv55%
×Draw22%
Rukh Vynnyky24%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo Kyiv
2.02
Rukh Vynnyky
1.26

Dynamo Kyiv creates 60% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 13 away

creates per match

Dynamo Kyiv
2.41
Rukh Vynnyky
1.46

allows per match

Dynamo Kyiv
1.06
Rukh Vynnyky
1.62

finishing

Dynamo Kyiv+0.00on par
Rukh Vynnyky+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo Kyiv ↓

Rukh Vynnyky →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Dynamo Kyiv or draw
76%
Dynamo Kyiv or Rukh Vynnyky
78%
Draw or Rukh Vynnyky
45%

Winning margin

Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
32%
Rukh Vynnyky wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
87%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
60%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
33%
Rukh Vynnyky 1+ goals
72%
Rukh Vynnyky 2+ goals
36%
Rukh Vynnyky 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
70%
Rukh Vynnyky (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo Kyiv at home — creates 2.41, concedes 1.06 · 17 matches

Rukh Vynnyky away — creates 1.46, concedes 1.62 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.41 + Rukh Vynnyky defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 2.02

Rukh Vynnyky attack 1.46 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.26

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Dynamo Kyiv scores more
55%
level
22%
Rukh Vynnyky scores more
24%

Dynamo Kyiv at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Dynamo Kyiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Dynamo Kyiv 0–0 Rukh Vynnyky

Dynamo Kyiv and Rukh Vynnyky drew 0-0 in Friendlies Clubs on May 22, 2020.

The match was played at Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky in Kiev.