Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dynamo Kyiv vs Rennes — UEFA Europa League 2026

Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
FT
3 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Rennes
Rennes
M. Shaparenko 72'
V. Mykolenko 68'
B. Verbič 13'
T. Siebatcheu 89'
11/8/2018UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League · Group Stage - 4NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Dynamo Kyiv37%
×Draw27%
Rennes35%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo Kyiv
1.24
Rennes
1.19

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 15 home / 12 away

creates per match

Dynamo Kyiv
0.73
Rennes
1.17

allows per match

Dynamo Kyiv
1.20
Rennes
1.75

finishing

Dynamo Kyiv+0.00on par
Rennes+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo Kyiv ↓

Rennes →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Dynamo Kyiv or draw
65%
Dynamo Kyiv or Rennes
73%
Draw or Rennes
63%

Winning margin

Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
16%
Rennes wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
71%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
35%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
13%
Rennes 1+ goals
70%
Rennes 2+ goals
33%
Rennes 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
52%
Rennes (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo Kyiv at home — creates 0.73, concedes 1.20 · 15 matches

Rennes away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.75 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo Kyiv attack 0.73 + Rennes defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.24

Rennes attack 1.17 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Dynamo Kyiv scores more
37%
level
27%
Rennes scores more
35%

Dynamo Kyiv at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Dynamo Kyiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

16
V. MykolenkoDynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv · D
8.7

Match Events

13'
B. Verbič↳ V. Tsygankov
29'
Gerzino Nyamsi
32'
Hamari Traore
46'
M. Niang← H. Traoré
55'
James Léa Siliki
68'
V. Mykolenko↳ V. Tsygankov
71'
T. Siebatcheu← I. Sarr
72'
M. Shaparenko↳ V. Mykolenko
74'
J. Gelin← G. Nyamsi
83'
S. Sydorchuk← Tchê Tchê
89'
T. Siebatcheu↳ M. Niang
90'
V. Supriaha← B. Verbič
90+2'
M. Duelund← M. Shaparenko

Possession

54%Dynamo

Shots

14Dynamo

Pass accuracy

52%Dynamo

Statistics

DynamoRennes
Overview
54%Possession46%
14Total Shots12
3Corners6
11Fouls18
Shots
14Total Shots12
7On Target5
7Off Target4
0Blocked3
8Inside Box9
6Outside Box3
Passing
54%Possession46%
473Total Passes394
400Accurate Passes310
85%Pass Accuracy79%
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
Discipline
11Fouls18
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
1Offsides1

UEFA Europa League: Dynamo Kyiv 3–1 Rennes

Dynamo Kyiv beat Rennes 3-1 in UEFA Europa League on November 8, 2018.

Goals: B. Verbič (13'), V. Mykolenko (68'), M. Shaparenko (72'), T. Siebatcheu (89').

Dynamo Kyiv controlled possession (54%) and registered 14 shots to 12.

The match was played at NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium in Kyiv.