Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dynamo Kyiv vs Minai — Premier League 2026

Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
FT
4 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Minai
Minai
O. Karavaiev 90+3'
V. Buialskyi 87' (pen)
V. Vanat 30', 27'
V. Vitenchuk 3'
7/30/2023Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 1Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 53+ matches

Dynamo Kyiv66%
×Draw21%
Minai13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo Kyiv
1.90
Minai
0.68

Dynamo Kyiv creates 179% more chances

Season form · 99 home / 53 away

creates per match

Dynamo Kyiv
2.07
Minai
0.60

allows per match

Dynamo Kyiv
0.75
Minai
1.72

finishing

Dynamo Kyiv+0.00on par
Minai+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo Kyiv ↓

Minai →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–15%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–110%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–16%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
47%53%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Dynamo Kyiv or draw
87%
Dynamo Kyiv or Minai
79%
Draw or Minai
34%

Winning margin

Dynamo Kyiv wins by 2+
40%
Minai wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Dynamo Kyiv 1+ goals
85%
Dynamo Kyiv 2+ goals
56%
Dynamo Kyiv 3+ goals
29%
Minai 1+ goals
49%
Minai 2+ goals
15%
Minai 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Dynamo Kyiv (draw refunded)
84%
Minai (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo Kyiv at home — creates 2.07, concedes 0.75 · 99 matches

Minai away — creates 0.60, concedes 1.72 · 53 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo Kyiv attack 2.07 + Minai defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.90

Minai attack 0.60 + Dynamo Kyiv defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Dynamo Kyiv scores more
66%
level
21%
Minai scores more
13%

Dynamo Kyiv at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Dynamo Kyiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'
V. Vitenchuk
27'
V. Vanat
30'
V. Vanat↳ V. Buialskyi
32'
Denys Popov
34'
O. Syrota← V. Kabaiev
45+1'
Vadym Vitenchuk
46'
Serhii Panasenko
46'
S. Panasenko← A. Raliuchenko
46'
V. Rohozynskyi← A. Buleza
54'
Yuriy Kravchuk
56'
Oleksandr Bandura
58'
I. Olkhovyi← T. Dmytruk
67'
A. Remeniak← I. Soldat
72'
M. Ghecev← V. Odariuk
75'
O. Karavaiev← A. Yarmolenko
75'
Benito← V. Vanat
82'
V. Brazhko← S. Sydorchuk
82'
V. Shepeliev← M. Shaparenko
87'
V. BuialskyiPenalty
90+1'
Volodymyr Brazhko
90+3'
O. Karavaiev

Shots

15Dynamo

Statistics

DynamoMinai
Overview
15Total Shots5
11Corners7
5Fouls19
Shots
15Total Shots5
10On Target2
3Off Target3
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
Discipline
5Fouls19
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards1

Match Recap: Dynamo Kyiv vs Minai

Dynamo Kyiv beat Minai 4-1 in Premier League on July 30, 2023.

Goals: V. Vitenchuk (3'), V. Vanat (27', 30'), V. Buialskyi (87' pen), O. Karavaiev (90+3').

The match was played at Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi in Kiev.