Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dynamo de Douala vs FC Rangers — Elite Two 2020

Dynamo de Douala
Dynamo de Douala
CANC
00:00
FC Rangers
FC Rangers
4/2/2022Elite TwoElite Two · Round 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Dynamo de Douala55%
×Draw24%
FC Rangers21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dynamo de Douala
1.72
FC Rangers
0.95

Dynamo de Douala creates 81% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 23 away

creates per match

Dynamo de Douala
1.53
FC Rangers
0.78

allows per match

Dynamo de Douala
1.11
FC Rangers
1.91

finishing

Dynamo de Douala+0.00on par
FC Rangers+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo de Douala ↓

FC Rangers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Dynamo de Douala or draw
79%
Dynamo de Douala or FC Rangers
76%
Draw or FC Rangers
45%

Winning margin

Dynamo de Douala wins by 2+
31%
FC Rangers wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Dynamo de Douala 1+ goals
82%
Dynamo de Douala 2+ goals
51%
Dynamo de Douala 3+ goals
25%
FC Rangers 1+ goals
61%
FC Rangers 2+ goals
25%
FC Rangers 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Dynamo de Douala (draw refunded)
73%
FC Rangers (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo de Douala at home — creates 1.53, concedes 1.11 · 19 matches

FC Rangers away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.91 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo de Douala attack 1.53 + FC Rangers defence 1.91 → ÷2 → 1.72

FC Rangers attack 0.78 + Dynamo de Douala defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Dynamo de Douala scores more
55%
level
24%
FC Rangers scores more
21%

Dynamo de Douala at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Dynamo de Douala will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Dynamo de Douala face FC Rangers (Elite Two)

Elite Two returns with Dynamo de Douala hosting FC Rangers. Match starts April 2, 2022. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.