Dynamo de Douala 2–0 Aigle Royal: Result & Stats

Dynamo de Douala

FT

2 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Aigle Royal

2/8/2026

Elite One · Round 4Stade de Bonamoussadi

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Dynamo de Douala48%

×Draw27%

Aigle Royal25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dynamo de DoualaExpected goals in this matchAigle Royal

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.38

0.90

Dynamo de Douala

1.38

Aigle Royal

0.90

Dynamo de Douala creates 53% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 38 away

1.33

creates per match

0.87

0.93

allows per match

1.42

creates per match

Dynamo de Douala

1.33

Aigle Royal

0.87

allows per match

Dynamo de Douala

0.93

Aigle Royal

1.42

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dynamo de Douala+0.00on par

Aigle Royal+0.00on par

Total goals

Under60
Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No56
Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dynamo de Douala ↓

Aigle Royal →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–010%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

66%34%2.5

40%60%3.5

20%80%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

Dynamo de Douala or draw

75%

Dynamo de Douala or Aigle Royal

73%

Draw or Aigle Royal

52%

Winning margin

Dynamo de Douala wins by 2+

23%

Aigle Royal wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Dynamo de Douala 1+ goals

75%

Dynamo de Douala 2+ goals

40%

Dynamo de Douala 3+ goals

16%

Aigle Royal 1+ goals

59%

Aigle Royal 2+ goals

23%

Aigle Royal 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Dynamo de Douala (draw refunded)

66%

Aigle Royal (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

32%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dynamo de Douala at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.93 · 42 matches

Aigle Royal away — creates 0.87, concedes 1.42 · 38 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dynamo de Douala attack 1.33 + Aigle Royal defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.38

Aigle Royal attack 0.87 + Dynamo de Douala defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Dynamo de Douala scores more

48%

level

27%

Aigle Royal scores more

25%

Dynamo de Douala at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Dynamo de Douala will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dynamo de Douala vs Aigle Royal

Dynamo de Douala beat Aigle Royal 2-0 in Elite One on February 8, 2026.

The match was played at Stade de Bonamoussadi in Douala.

Dynamo de Douala vs Aigle Royal — Elite One 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Dynamo de Douala vs Aigle Royal