Dunav Ruse 0–0 Hebar 1918: Result & Stats

Dunav Ruse

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Hebar 1918

4/4/2026

Second League · Round 27Gradski stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 56+ matches

Dunav Ruse47%

×Draw27%

Hebar 191826%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dunav RuseExpected goals in this matchHebar 1918

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.42

0.98

Dunav Ruse

1.42

Hebar 1918

0.98

Dunav Ruse creates 45% more chances

Season form · 69 home / 56 away

1.45

creates per match

1.29

0.67

allows per match

1.38

creates per match

Dunav Ruse

1.45

Hebar 1918

1.29

allows per match

Dunav Ruse

0.67

Hebar 1918

1.38

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dunav Ruse+0.00on par

Hebar 1918+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No53
Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dunav Ruse ↓

Hebar 1918 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Dunav Ruse or draw

74%

Dunav Ruse or Hebar 1918

73%

Draw or Hebar 1918

53%

Winning margin

Dunav Ruse wins by 2+

23%

Hebar 1918 wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Dunav Ruse 1+ goals

76%

Dunav Ruse 2+ goals

41%

Dunav Ruse 3+ goals

17%

Hebar 1918 1+ goals

62%

Hebar 1918 2+ goals

26%

Hebar 1918 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Dunav Ruse (draw refunded)

64%

Hebar 1918 (draw refunded)

36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dunav Ruse at home — creates 1.45, concedes 0.67 · 69 matches

Hebar 1918 away — creates 1.29, concedes 1.38 · 56 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dunav Ruse attack 1.45 + Hebar 1918 defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.42

Hebar 1918 attack 1.29 + Dunav Ruse defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.98

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Dunav Ruse scores more

47%

level

27%

Hebar 1918 scores more

26%

Dunav Ruse at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Dunav Ruse will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

26'

S. Malamov← K. Pavlov

48'

I. Kostov

62'

H. Kelyovluev← B. Marinov

64'

E. Martinov← Z. Pehlivanov

65'

D. Todorov

70'

M. Tsvetanov

77'

S. Kamenov← Y. Angelov

77'

R. Nepeypiev← D. Aleksandrov

80'

K. Todorov← R. Apostolov

81'

H. Kelyovluev

88'

S. Predev← M. Dilchovski

Dunav

Hebar

33

Tilev

77

▼

Pavlov

11

▼

Aleksandr

29

▼

Angelov

8

▼

7

17

20

23

99

55

14

▼

26

13

88

81

▼

10

78

11

17

▼

Marinov

18

Keita

33

Kitanov

Manager: Georgi Chilikov

62'▲H. Kelyovluev←▼B. Marinov

80'▲K. Todorov←▼R. Apostolov

88'▲S. Predev←▼M. Dilchovski

Dunav Ruse substitutes

1Mladenov22Predev7Kelyovluev16Todorov84Rufe15Gospodinov77Simeonov

Manager: Nikolay Mitov

26'▲S. Malamov←▼K. Pavlov

64'▲E. Martinov←▼Z. Pehlivanov

77'▲S. Kamenov←▼Y. Angelov

77'▲R. Nepeypiev←▼D. Aleksandrov

Hebar 1918 substitutes

1Gruev19Dadakov27Martinov2Kamenov88Tisovski9Petrov21Malamov24Nepeypiev5Vidinov

Second League: Dunav Ruse 0–0 Hebar 1918

Dunav Ruse and Hebar 1918 drew 0-0 in Second League on April 4, 2026.

The match was played at Gradski stadion in Ruse.

Dunav Ruse vs Hebar 1918 — Second League 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Second League: Dunav Ruse 0–0 Hebar 1918