Dunajska Streda 0–0 Dukla Banská Bystrica

Dunajska Streda

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Dukla Banská Bystrica

11/10/2024

League #332 · Round 14MOL Aréna

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Dunajska Streda58%

×Draw22%

Dukla Banská Bystrica20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dunajska StredaExpected goals in this matchDukla Banská Bystrica

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.88

1.01

Dunajska Streda

1.88

Dukla Banská Bystrica

1.01

Dunajska Streda creates 86% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 27 away

1.94

creates per match

1.19

0.83

allows per match

1.81

creates per match

Dunajska Streda

1.94

Dukla Banská Bystrica

1.19

allows per match

Dunajska Streda

0.83

Dukla Banská Bystrica

1.81

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dunajska Streda+0.00on par

Dukla Banská Bystrica+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dunajska Streda ↓

Dukla Banská Bystrica →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–16%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–16%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–03%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

78%22%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

16%84%

Double chance

Dunajska Streda or draw

80%

Dunajska Streda or Dukla Banská Bystrica

78%

Draw or Dukla Banská Bystrica

42%

Winning margin

Dunajska Streda wins by 2+

33%

Dukla Banská Bystrica wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Dunajska Streda 1+ goals

85%

Dunajska Streda 2+ goals

56%

Dunajska Streda 3+ goals

29%

Dukla Banská Bystrica 1+ goals

64%

Dukla Banská Bystrica 2+ goals

27%

Dukla Banská Bystrica 3+ goals

8%

Draw no bet

Dunajska Streda (draw refunded)

74%

Dukla Banská Bystrica (draw refunded)

26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dunajska Streda at home — creates 1.94, concedes 0.83 · 18 matches

Dukla Banská Bystrica away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.81 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dunajska Streda attack 1.94 + Dukla Banská Bystrica defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 1.88

Dukla Banská Bystrica attack 1.19 + Dunajska Streda defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Dunajska Streda scores more

58%

level

22%

Dukla Banská Bystrica scores more

20%

Dunajska Streda at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Dunajska Streda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

24

C. Herc

Dunajska Streda · M

8.2

Match Events

23'

Alex Mendez

54'

Tibor Slebodník

56'

D. Veselovský← T. Slebodník

56'

N. Šikula← A. Hanes

57'

L. Bősze← K. Gruszkowski

63'

J. Bernát← M. Vitális

64'

Máté Tuboly

64'

Máté TubolyCard upgrade

68'

Jakub Považanec

73'

M. Bajo← L. Almási

84'

T. Malec← M. Pišoja

89'

B. Ľupták← D. Richtárech

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DunajskaDukla

Overview

53%Possession47%

11Total Shots5

2Corners2

19Fouls20

Shots

11Total Shots5

1On Target1

6Off Target1

4Blocked3

6Inside Box2

5Outside Box3

Passing

53%Possession47%

426Total Passes376

338Accurate Passes288

79%Pass Accuracy77%

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

Discipline

19Fouls20

1Yellow Cards2

1Red Cards0

4Offsides1

Match Recap: Dunajska Streda vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

Dunajska Streda and Dukla Banská Bystrica drew 0-0 in League #332 on November 10, 2024.

Dunajska Streda controlled possession (53%) and registered 11 shots to 5.

The match was played at MOL Aréna in Dunajská Streda.

Dunajska Streda vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — League #332 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Dunajska Streda vs Dukla Banská Bystrica