Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–0 Dunajska Streda

Dukla Banská Bystrica

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Dunajska Streda

12/2/2023

League #332 · Round 16Štadión SNP Štiavničky

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Dukla Banská Bystrica24%

×Draw23%

Dunajska Streda53%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dukla Banská BystricaExpected goals in this matchDunajska Streda

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.17

1.85

Dukla Banská Bystrica

1.17

Dunajska Streda

1.85

Dunajska Streda creates 58% more chances

Season form · 25 home / 14 away

1.40

creates per match

1.86

1.84

allows per match

0.93

creates per match

Dukla Banská Bystrica

1.40

Dunajska Streda

1.86

allows per match

Dukla Banská Bystrica

1.84

Dunajska Streda

0.93

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dukla Banská Bystrica+0.00on par

Dunajska Streda+0.00on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dukla Banská Bystrica ↓

Dunajska Streda →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–19%

0–28%

0–35%

0–42%

1

1–06%

1–111%

1–210%

1–36%

1–43%

2

2–03%

2–16%

2–26%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–01%

3–12%

3–22%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–00%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw

47%

Dukla Banská Bystrica or Dunajska Streda

77%

Draw or Dunajska Streda

76%

Winning margin

Dukla Banská Bystrica wins by 2+

9%

Dunajska Streda wins by 2+

30%

Team goals

Dukla Banská Bystrica 1+ goals

69%

Dukla Banská Bystrica 2+ goals

33%

Dukla Banská Bystrica 3+ goals

11%

Dunajska Streda 1+ goals

84%

Dunajska Streda 2+ goals

55%

Dunajska Streda 3+ goals

28%

Draw no bet

Dukla Banská Bystrica (draw refunded)

31%

Dunajska Streda (draw refunded)

69%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dukla Banská Bystrica at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.84 · 25 matches

Dunajska Streda away — creates 1.86, concedes 0.93 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dukla Banská Bystrica attack 1.40 + Dunajska Streda defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.17

Dunajska Streda attack 1.86 + Dukla Banská Bystrica defence 1.84 → ÷2 → 1.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Dukla Banská Bystrica scores more

24%

level

23%

Dunajska Streda scores more

53%

Dunajska Streda at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Dunajska Streda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

41

Ľ. Willwéber

Dukla Banská Bystrica · D

7.9

Match Events

21'

Milan Vitalis

24'

J. Považanec← J. Uhrinčať

30'

35'

45+1'

51'

62'

62'

Ammar Ramadan← M. Káčer

71'

K. Gruszkowski← M. Trusa

74'

Christián Herc

84'

Milan Dimun

90'

D. Depetris← M. Rymarenko

90+3'

T. Slebodník← B. Ľupták

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DuklaDunajska

Overview

52%Possession48%

18Total Shots6

9Corners5

8Fouls14

Shots

18Total Shots6

3On Target3

8Off Target1

7Blocked2

7Inside Box5

11Outside Box1

Passing

52%Possession48%

409Total Passes394

323Accurate Passes293

79%Pass Accuracy74%

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

Discipline

8Fouls14

2Yellow Cards4

1Offsides1

Match Recap: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda

Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda drew 0-0 in League #332 on December 2, 2023.

Dukla Banská Bystrica controlled possession (52%) and registered 18 shots to 6.

The match was played at Štadión SNP Štiavničky in Banská Bystrica.

Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda — League #332 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda