Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dukla Praha II vs Bohemians 1905 II — 3. liga - CFL A 2019

Dukla Praha II
Dukla Praha II
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Bohemians 1905 II
Bohemians 1905 II
3/27/20263. liga - CFL A3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 21Stadion FK Zbuzany

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

Dukla Praha II43%
×Draw23%
Bohemians 1905 II34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dukla Praha II
1.74
Bohemians 1905 II
1.54

Dukla Praha II creates 13% more chances

Season form · 61 home / 61 away

creates per match

Dukla Praha II
1.62
Bohemians 1905 II
1.48

allows per match

Dukla Praha II
1.59
Bohemians 1905 II
1.85

finishing

Dukla Praha II+0.00on par
Bohemians 1905 II+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dukla Praha II ↓

Bohemians 1905 II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Dukla Praha II or draw
66%
Dukla Praha II or Bohemians 1905 II
77%
Draw or Bohemians 1905 II
57%

Winning margin

Dukla Praha II wins by 2+
22%
Bohemians 1905 II wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Dukla Praha II 1+ goals
82%
Dukla Praha II 2+ goals
52%
Dukla Praha II 3+ goals
25%
Bohemians 1905 II 1+ goals
79%
Bohemians 1905 II 2+ goals
45%
Bohemians 1905 II 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Dukla Praha II (draw refunded)
55%
Bohemians 1905 II (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
55%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dukla Praha II at home — creates 1.62, concedes 1.59 · 61 matches

Bohemians 1905 II away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.85 · 61 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dukla Praha II attack 1.62 + Bohemians 1905 II defence 1.85 → ÷2 → 1.74

Bohemians 1905 II attack 1.48 + Dukla Praha II defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.54

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Dukla Praha II scores more
43%
level
23%
Bohemians 1905 II scores more
34%

Dukla Praha II at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Dukla Praha II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dukla Praha II vs Bohemians 1905 II

Dukla Praha II beat Bohemians 1905 II 2-1 in 3. liga - CFL A on March 27, 2026.

The match was played at Stadion FK Zbuzany.