Družstevník Plavnica vs Veľké Revištia — 3. liga - East 2020
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 8+ matches
Družstevník Plavnica75%
Veľké Revištia10%✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Družstevník Plavnica creates 216% more chances
Season form · 8 home / 8 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over65
- Under35
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes51
- No49
Close call
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Družstevník Plavnica ↓
Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Družstevník Plavnica at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches
Veľké Revištia away — creates 0.63, concedes 3.25 · 8 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Družstevník Plavnica attack 1.88 + Veľké Revištia defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.56
Veľké Revištia attack 0.63 + Družstevník Plavnica defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.81
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 75%?"
Družstevník Plavnica at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 75% does not mean "Družstevník Plavnica will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Družstevník Plavnica host Veľké Revištia on Sunday, 15 November 2020 at 12:30. The match is part of the 3. liga - East 2020/2021 season.
Družstevník Plavnica face Veľké Revištia (3. liga - East)
3. liga - East returns with Družstevník Plavnica hosting Veľké Revištia. Match starts November 15, 2020. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.
Družstevník Plavnica host Veľké Revištia at Futbalový štadión FK Družstevník Plavnica.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.