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Dong Thap vs Bóng đá Huế — V.League 2 2020

Dong Thap
Dong Thap
FT
3 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Bóng đá Huế
Bóng đá Huế
4/20/2025V.League 2V.League 2 · Round 15Sân vận động Cao Lãnh

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Dong Thap47%
×Draw28%
Bóng đá Huế25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dong Thap
1.32
Bóng đá Huế
0.89

Dong Thap creates 48% more chances

Season form · 38 home / 51 away

creates per match

Dong Thap
1.05
Bóng đá Huế
0.96

allows per match

Dong Thap
0.82
Bóng đá Huế
1.59

finishing

Dong Thap+0.00on par
Bóng đá Huế+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dong Thap ↓

Bóng đá Huế →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Dong Thap or draw
75%
Dong Thap or Bóng đá Huế
72%
Draw or Bóng đá Huế
53%

Winning margin

Dong Thap wins by 2+
22%
Bóng đá Huế wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Dong Thap 1+ goals
73%
Dong Thap 2+ goals
38%
Dong Thap 3+ goals
15%
Bóng đá Huế 1+ goals
59%
Bóng đá Huế 2+ goals
22%
Bóng đá Huế 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Dong Thap (draw refunded)
65%
Bóng đá Huế (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dong Thap at home — creates 1.05, concedes 0.82 · 38 matches

Bóng đá Huế away — creates 0.96, concedes 1.59 · 51 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dong Thap attack 1.05 + Bóng đá Huế defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.32

Bóng đá Huế attack 0.96 + Dong Thap defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Dong Thap scores more
47%
level
28%
Bóng đá Huế scores more
25%

Dong Thap at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Dong Thap will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

V.League 2: Dong Thap 3–0 Bóng đá Huế

Dong Thap beat Bóng đá Huế 3-0 in V.League 2 on April 20, 2025.

The match was played at Sân vận động Cao Lãnh in Cao Lanh.