Dong Nai 0–0 Hòa Bình: Result & Stats | V.League 2

Dong Nai

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Hòa Bình

5/15/2024

V.League 2 · Round 17Sân vận động Đồng Nai

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Dong Nai44%

×Draw35%

Hòa Bình21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dong NaiExpected goals in this matchHòa Bình

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.99

0.58

Dong Nai

0.99

Hòa Bình

0.58

Dong Nai creates 71% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 29 away

0.85

creates per match

0.62

0.55

allows per match

1.14

creates per match

Dong Nai

0.85

Hòa Bình

0.62

allows per match

Dong Nai

0.55

Hòa Bình

1.14

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dong Nai+0.00on par

Hòa Bình+0.00on par

Total goals

Under79
Over21

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No72
Yes28

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dong Nai ↓

Hòa Bình →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–021%

0–112%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–021%

1–112%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–16%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (21%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

79%21%1.5

47%53%2.5

21%79%3.5

7%93%4.5

2%98%

Double chance

Dong Nai or draw

79%

Dong Nai or Hòa Bình

65%

Draw or Hòa Bình

56%

Winning margin

Dong Nai wins by 2+

17%

Hòa Bình wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Dong Nai 1+ goals

63%

Dong Nai 2+ goals

26%

Dong Nai 3+ goals

8%

Hòa Bình 1+ goals

44%

Hòa Bình 2+ goals

12%

Hòa Bình 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Dong Nai (draw refunded)

68%

Hòa Bình (draw refunded)

32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

16%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dong Nai at home — creates 0.85, concedes 0.55 · 20 matches

Hòa Bình away — creates 0.62, concedes 1.14 · 29 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dong Nai attack 0.85 + Hòa Bình defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 0.99

Hòa Bình attack 0.62 + Dong Nai defence 0.55 → ÷2 → 0.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Dong Nai scores more

44%

level

35%

Hòa Bình scores more

21%

Dong Nai at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Dong Nai will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff