Donau Klagenfurt 4–1 Völkermarkt: Result & Stats

Donau Klagenfurt

FT

4 – 1

HT: 2 – 1

Völkermarkt

5/13/2026

Landesliga - Karnten · Kärnten - 26Installateur Wank Arena Donau Klagenfurt

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Donau Klagenfurt47%

×Draw23%

Völkermarkt30%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Donau KlagenfurtExpected goals in this matchVölkermarkt

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.80

1.38

Donau Klagenfurt

1.80

Völkermarkt

1.38

Donau Klagenfurt creates 30% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 93 away

1.68

creates per match

1.49

1.27

allows per match

1.92

creates per match

Donau Klagenfurt

1.68

Völkermarkt

1.49

allows per match

Donau Klagenfurt

1.27

Völkermarkt

1.92

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Donau Klagenfurt+0.00on par

Völkermarkt+0.00on par

Total goals

Over61
Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Donau Klagenfurt ↓

Völkermarkt →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

61%39%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Donau Klagenfurt or draw

70%

Donau Klagenfurt or Völkermarkt

77%

Draw or Völkermarkt

53%

Winning margin

Donau Klagenfurt wins by 2+

26%

Völkermarkt wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Donau Klagenfurt 1+ goals

83%

Donau Klagenfurt 2+ goals

54%

Donau Klagenfurt 3+ goals

27%

Völkermarkt 1+ goals

75%

Völkermarkt 2+ goals

40%

Völkermarkt 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Donau Klagenfurt (draw refunded)

62%

Völkermarkt (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Donau Klagenfurt at home — creates 1.68, concedes 1.27 · 44 matches

Völkermarkt away — creates 1.49, concedes 1.92 · 93 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Donau Klagenfurt attack 1.68 + Völkermarkt defence 1.92 → ÷2 → 1.80

Völkermarkt attack 1.49 + Donau Klagenfurt defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.38

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Donau Klagenfurt scores more

47%

level

23%

Völkermarkt scores more

30%

Donau Klagenfurt at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Donau Klagenfurt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Karnten: Donau Klagenfurt 4–1 Völkermarkt

Donau Klagenfurt beat Völkermarkt 4-1 in Landesliga - Karnten on May 13, 2026.

The match was played at Installateur Wank Arena Donau Klagenfurt in Klagenfurt am Wörthersee.

Donau Klagenfurt vs Völkermarkt — Landesliga - Karnten 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Landesliga - Karnten: Donau Klagenfurt 4–1 Völkermarkt