Dinamo Tbilisi II 2–2 Gonio: Result & Stats

Dinamo Tbilisi II

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Gonio

N. Sikharulashvili 75'

T. Odikadze 3'

Z. Beridze 90'

K. Kakhabrishvili 33' (pen)

8/30/2025

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Round 21Vitali Daraselia Academy

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Dinamo Tbilisi II48%

×Draw24%

Gonio28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dinamo Tbilisi IIExpected goals in this matchGonio

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.71

1.25

Dinamo Tbilisi II

1.71

Gonio

1.25

Dinamo Tbilisi II creates 37% more chances

Season form · 59 home / 18 away

1.92

creates per match

1.00

1.51

allows per match

1.50

creates per match

Dinamo Tbilisi II

1.92

Gonio

1.00

allows per match

Dinamo Tbilisi II

1.51

Gonio

1.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dinamo Tbilisi II+0.00on par

Gonio+0.00on par

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes58
No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Tbilisi II ↓

Gonio →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

79%21%2.5

57%43%3.5

34%66%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Dinamo Tbilisi II or draw

72%

Dinamo Tbilisi II or Gonio

76%

Draw or Gonio

52%

Winning margin

Dinamo Tbilisi II wins by 2+

26%

Gonio wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Dinamo Tbilisi II 1+ goals

82%

Dinamo Tbilisi II 2+ goals

51%

Dinamo Tbilisi II 3+ goals

24%

Gonio 1+ goals

71%

Gonio 2+ goals

36%

Gonio 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Tbilisi II (draw refunded)

63%

Gonio (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Tbilisi II at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.51 · 59 matches

Gonio away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.50 · 18 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Tbilisi II attack 1.92 + Gonio defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.71

Gonio attack 1.00 + Dinamo Tbilisi II defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Dinamo Tbilisi II scores more

48%

level

24%

Gonio scores more

28%

Dinamo Tbilisi II at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Dinamo Tbilisi II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'

T. Odikadze

24'

K. Kakhabrishvili

33'

K. KakhabrishviliPenalty

41'

L. Ingorokva

46'

L. Bubuteishvili← K. Doltmurziev

46'

L. Nachkebia← A. Mashava

60'

Z. Beridze← G. Apkhazava

65'

Renato Luis← L. Kasradze

73'

B. Burdiashvili← T. Odikadze

73'

N. Sikharulashvili← A. Peikrishvili

75'

A. Peikrishvili

75'

N. Sikharulashvili

79'

T. Abuselidze← K. Kakhabrishvili

85'

L. Shashiashvili← M. Mushkudiani

88'

B. Burdiashvili

90+2'

L. Bubuteishvili

90'

Z. Beridze↳ T. Abuselidze

Dinamo

Gonio

19

Kotlyarov

27

Chachua

35

▼

16

40

6

12

23

7

⚽

▼

Kakhabris

39

Belotti

10

▼

12

23

30

3

52

31

53

▼

Mushkudia

50

▼

Peikrishv

9

▼

Mashava

11

⚽

▼

Odikadze

57

▼

Doltmurzi

Manager: V. Geguchadze

46'▲L. Bubuteishvili←▼K. Doltmurziev

46'▲L. Nachkebia←▼A. Mashava

73'▲B. Burdiashvili←▼T. Odikadze

73'▲N. Sikharulashvili←▼A. Peikrishvili

85'▲L. Shashiashvili←▼M. Mushkudiani

Dinamo Tbilisi II substitutes

1Tartarashvili6Burdiashvili10Sikharulashvili17Shashiashvili24Mekhtievi25Bubuteishvili27Nachkebia29Nioradze41Danelia

Manager: L. Jokhadze

60'▲Z. Beridze←▼G. Apkhazava

65'▲Renato Luis←▼L. Kasradze

79'▲T. Abuselidze←▼K. Kakhabrishvili

Gonio substitutes

33Takidze5Samsonia9Abuselidze15Verulidze17Beridze30Nagervadze38Luis

Erovnuli Liga 2: Dinamo Tbilisi II 2–2 Gonio

Dinamo Tbilisi II and Gonio drew 2-2 in Erovnuli Liga 2 on August 30, 2025.

Goals: T. Odikadze (3'), K. Kakhabrishvili (33' pen), N. Sikharulashvili (75'), Z. Beridze (90').

The match was played at Vitali Daraselia Academy in Tbilisi.

Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Gonio — Erovnuli Liga 2 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Erovnuli Liga 2: Dinamo Tbilisi II 2–2 Gonio