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Dinamo Helfort vs Vorwärts Brigittenau — Landesliga - Wien 2019

Dinamo Helfort
Dinamo Helfort
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Vorwärts Brigittenau
Vorwärts Brigittenau
4/18/2026Landesliga - WienLandesliga - Wien · Wien - 22Sportplatz Helfort

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 61+ matches

Dinamo Helfort65%
×Draw19%
Vorwärts Brigittenau16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dinamo Helfort
2.30
Vorwärts Brigittenau
1.06

Dinamo Helfort creates 117% more chances

Season form · 61 home / 76 away

creates per match

Dinamo Helfort
2.28
Vorwärts Brigittenau
1.04

allows per match

Dinamo Helfort
1.08
Vorwärts Brigittenau
2.32

finishing

Dinamo Helfort+0.00on par
Vorwärts Brigittenau+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dinamo Helfort ↓

Vorwärts Brigittenau →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Dinamo Helfort or draw
84%
Dinamo Helfort or Vorwärts Brigittenau
81%
Draw or Vorwärts Brigittenau
35%

Winning margin

Dinamo Helfort wins by 2+
42%
Vorwärts Brigittenau wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Dinamo Helfort 1+ goals
90%
Dinamo Helfort 2+ goals
67%
Dinamo Helfort 3+ goals
40%
Vorwärts Brigittenau 1+ goals
65%
Vorwärts Brigittenau 2+ goals
29%
Vorwärts Brigittenau 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Dinamo Helfort (draw refunded)
80%
Vorwärts Brigittenau (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dinamo Helfort at home — creates 2.28, concedes 1.08 · 61 matches

Vorwärts Brigittenau away — creates 1.04, concedes 2.32 · 76 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dinamo Helfort attack 2.28 + Vorwärts Brigittenau defence 2.32 → ÷2 → 2.30

Vorwärts Brigittenau attack 1.04 + Dinamo Helfort defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Dinamo Helfort scores more
65%
level
19%
Vorwärts Brigittenau scores more
16%

Dinamo Helfort at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Dinamo Helfort will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Wien: Dinamo Helfort 2–0 Vorwärts Brigittenau

Dinamo Helfort beat Vorwärts Brigittenau 2-0 in Landesliga - Wien on April 18, 2026.

The match was played at Sportplatz Helfort in Wien.