Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dibba Al Hisn vs Masafi — Division 1 2025

Dibba Al Hisn
Dibba Al Hisn
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Masafi
Masafi
M. Souza 88'
H. Loutfy 84'
5/7/2023Division 1Division 1 · Round 32Dibba Al-Hisn Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Dibba Al Hisn57%
×Draw23%
Masafi21%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dibba Al Hisn
1.84
Masafi
1.01

Dibba Al Hisn creates 82% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 34 away

creates per match

Dibba Al Hisn
2.00
Masafi
1.24

allows per match

Dibba Al Hisn
0.78
Masafi
1.68

finishing

Dibba Al Hisn+0.00on par
Masafi+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dibba Al Hisn ↓

Masafi →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Dibba Al Hisn or draw
79%
Dibba Al Hisn or Masafi
77%
Draw or Masafi
43%

Winning margin

Dibba Al Hisn wins by 2+
33%
Masafi wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Dibba Al Hisn 1+ goals
84%
Dibba Al Hisn 2+ goals
55%
Dibba Al Hisn 3+ goals
28%
Masafi 1+ goals
64%
Masafi 2+ goals
27%
Masafi 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Dibba Al Hisn (draw refunded)
73%
Masafi (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dibba Al Hisn at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.78 · 18 matches

Masafi away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.68 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dibba Al Hisn attack 2.00 + Masafi defence 1.68 → ÷2 → 1.84

Masafi attack 1.24 + Dibba Al Hisn defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Dibba Al Hisn scores more
57%
level
23%
Masafi scores more
21%

Dibba Al Hisn at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Dibba Al Hisn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

84'
H. Loutfy
88'
M. Souza

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division 1: Dibba Al Hisn 1–1 Masafi

Dibba Al Hisn and Masafi drew 1-1 in Division 1 on May 7, 2023.

Goals: H. Loutfy (84'), M. Souza (88').

The match was played at Dibba Al-Hisn Stadium in Dibba Al-Hisn.