Dibba Al-Fujairah 1–3 Al-Wasl FC: Result & Stats

Dibba Al-Fujairah

FT

1 – 3

HT: 1 – 1

Al-Wasl FC

Saymon Cabral 20'

Adryelson 64'

N. Gimenez 46'

Serginho 3'

12/28/2025

League #301 · Round 10Dibba Al Fujairah Club Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Dibba Al-Fujairah29%

×Draw23%

Al-Wasl FC47%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Dibba Al-FujairahExpected goals in this matchAl-Wasl FC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.33

1.75

Dibba Al-Fujairah

1.33

Al-Wasl FC

1.75

Al-Wasl FC creates 32% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 19 away

1.40

creates per match

1.58

1.93

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

Dibba Al-Fujairah

1.40

Al-Wasl FC

1.58

allows per match

Dibba Al-Fujairah

1.93

Al-Wasl FC

1.26

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Dibba Al-Fujairah+0.00on par

Al-Wasl FC+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dibba Al-Fujairah ↓

Al-Wasl FC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–27%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–06%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–04%

2–17%

2–26%

2–34%

2–42%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Dibba Al-Fujairah or draw

53%

Dibba Al-Fujairah or Al-Wasl FC

77%

Draw or Al-Wasl FC

71%

Winning margin

Dibba Al-Fujairah wins by 2+

13%

Al-Wasl FC wins by 2+

25%

Team goals

Dibba Al-Fujairah 1+ goals

74%

Dibba Al-Fujairah 2+ goals

38%

Dibba Al-Fujairah 3+ goals

15%

Al-Wasl FC 1+ goals

83%

Al-Wasl FC 2+ goals

52%

Al-Wasl FC 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Dibba Al-Fujairah (draw refunded)

38%

Al-Wasl FC (draw refunded)

62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dibba Al-Fujairah at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.93 · 15 matches

Al-Wasl FC away — creates 1.58, concedes 1.26 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dibba Al-Fujairah attack 1.40 + Al-Wasl FC defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.33

Al-Wasl FC attack 1.58 + Dibba Al-Fujairah defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Dibba Al-Fujairah scores more

29%

level

23%

Al-Wasl FC scores more

47%

Al-Wasl FC at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Al-Wasl FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

31

N. Gimenez

Al-Wasl FC · M

10.0

Match Events

3'

Serginho↳ N. Gimenez

5'

Ali SalehGoal cancelled

20'

Saymon Cabral↳ Habib Yousuf

46'

R. Omer← Habib Yousuf

46'

N. Gimenez↳ Serginho

55'

Ali Saleh

64'

Adryelson↳ N. Gimenez

65'

D. Coulibaly← M. Al Mardi

75'

E. Benedict← A. Abdullaev

85'

86'

87'

89'

90+5'

90+2'

B. Palacios Alzate← Serginho

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DibbaAl-Wasl

Overview

30%Possession70%

6Total Shots13

4Corners11

7Fouls6

Shots

6Total Shots13

1On Target4

3Off Target5

2Blocked4

4Inside Box9

2Outside Box4

Passing

30%Possession70%

267Total Passes642

217Accurate Passes592

81%Pass Accuracy92%

Goalkeeping

3Saves0

Discipline

7Fouls6

2Yellow Cards1

0Offsides3