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Deutschlandsberger SC vs ASK Klagenfurt — Regionalliga - Mitte 2018

Deutschlandsberger SC
Deutschlandsberger SC
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
ASK Klagenfurt
ASK Klagenfurt
3/28/2025Regionalliga - MitteRegionalliga - Mitte · Mitte - 20Koralmstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 25+ matches

Deutschlandsberger SC49%
×Draw22%
ASK Klagenfurt29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deutschlandsberger SC
1.94
ASK Klagenfurt
1.45

Deutschlandsberger SC creates 34% more chances

Season form · 105 home / 25 away

creates per match

Deutschlandsberger SC
2.17
ASK Klagenfurt
1.52

allows per match

Deutschlandsberger SC
1.37
ASK Klagenfurt
1.72

finishing

Deutschlandsberger SC+0.00on par
ASK Klagenfurt+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

65%Yes
  • Yes65
  • No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deutschlandsberger SC ↓

ASK Klagenfurt →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Deutschlandsberger SC or draw
71%
Deutschlandsberger SC or ASK Klagenfurt
78%
Draw or ASK Klagenfurt
51%

Winning margin

Deutschlandsberger SC wins by 2+
28%
ASK Klagenfurt wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Deutschlandsberger SC 1+ goals
86%
Deutschlandsberger SC 2+ goals
58%
Deutschlandsberger SC 3+ goals
30%
ASK Klagenfurt 1+ goals
77%
ASK Klagenfurt 2+ goals
42%
ASK Klagenfurt 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Deutschlandsberger SC (draw refunded)
63%
ASK Klagenfurt (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deutschlandsberger SC at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.37 · 105 matches

ASK Klagenfurt away — creates 1.52, concedes 1.72 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deutschlandsberger SC attack 2.17 + ASK Klagenfurt defence 1.72 → ÷2 → 1.94

ASK Klagenfurt attack 1.52 + Deutschlandsberger SC defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Deutschlandsberger SC scores more
49%
level
22%
ASK Klagenfurt scores more
29%

Deutschlandsberger SC at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Deutschlandsberger SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Regionalliga - Mitte: Deutschlandsberger SC 1–1 ASK Klagenfurt

Deutschlandsberger SC and ASK Klagenfurt drew 1-1 in Regionalliga - Mitte on March 28, 2025.

The match was played at Koralmstadion in Deutschlandsberg.