Deportivo Riestra 0–0 River Plate: Result & Stats

Deportivo Riestra

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

River Plate

3/15/2025

Liga Profesional Argentina · 1st Phase - 10Estadio Guillermo Laza

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 17+ matches

Deportivo Riestra42%

×Draw30%

River Plate27%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Deportivo RiestraExpected goals in this matchRiver Plate

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.15

0.86

Deportivo Riestra

1.15

River Plate

0.86

Deportivo Riestra creates 34% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 17 away

1.24

creates per match

0.75

0.97

allows per match

1.05

creates per match

Deportivo Riestra

1.24

River Plate

0.75

allows per match

Deportivo Riestra

0.97

River Plate

1.05

-0.06on par

finishing

+0.01on par

finishing

Deportivo Riestra-0.06on par

River Plate+0.01on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No61
Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Riestra ↓

River Plate →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–013%

0–112%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–09%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Deportivo Riestra or draw

73%

Deportivo Riestra or River Plate

70%

Draw or River Plate

58%

Winning margin

Deportivo Riestra wins by 2+

18%

River Plate wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Deportivo Riestra 1+ goals

68%

Deportivo Riestra 2+ goals

32%

Deportivo Riestra 3+ goals

11%

River Plate 1+ goals

58%

River Plate 2+ goals

21%

River Plate 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Riestra (draw refunded)

61%

River Plate (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

26%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Riestra at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.97 · 17 matches

River Plate away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.05 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Riestra attack 1.24 + River Plate defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.15

River Plate attack 0.75 + Deportivo Riestra defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Deportivo Riestra scores more

42%

level

30%

River Plate scores more

27%

Deportivo Riestra at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Deportivo Riestra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

P. Diaz

River Plate · D

8.2

Match Events

18'

Facundo Miño

21'

Pedro Ramírez

24'

I. Subiabre← F. Colidio

31'

Rodrigo Gallo

41'

Rodrigo Aliendro

46'

P. Monje← A. Alonso

46'

F. Bustos← G. Montiel

65'

Jonathan Goitia

69'

Nicolás Benegas

73'

G. Tapia← Miguel Borja

73'

P. Martinez← R. Aliendro

78'

M. Bracamonte← R. Gallo

78'

A. Diaz← J. Herrera

88'

B. Guille← N. Benegas

88'

N. Fernandez← M. Meza

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

DeportivoRiver

Overview

25%Possession75%

9Total Shots17

5Corners6

17Fouls13

Shots

9Total Shots17

1On Target3

5Off Target11

3Blocked3

5Inside Box8

4Outside Box9

Passing

25%Possession75%

184Total Passes562

89Accurate Passes486

48%Pass Accuracy86%

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

Discipline

17Fouls13

5Yellow Cards1

2Offsides1

Liga Profesional Argentina: Deportivo Riestra 0–0 River Plate

Deportivo Riestra and River Plate drew 0-0 in Liga Profesional Argentina on March 15, 2025.

River Plate controlled possession (75%) and registered 17 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Guillermo Laza in Buenos Aires.

Deportivo Riestra vs River Plate — Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Liga Profesional Argentina: Deportivo Riestra 0–0 River Plate