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Deportivo Coopsol vs Academia Cantolao — Segunda División 2018

Deportivo Coopsol
Deportivo Coopsol
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Academia Cantolao
Academia Cantolao
9/15/2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · Relegation Round - 9Estadio Romulo Shaw Cisneros

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Deportivo Coopsol48%
×Draw27%
Academia Cantolao25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Deportivo Coopsol
1.43
Academia Cantolao
0.96

Deportivo Coopsol creates 49% more chances

Season form · 90 home / 28 away

creates per match

Deportivo Coopsol
1.32
Academia Cantolao
0.89

allows per match

Deportivo Coopsol
1.02
Academia Cantolao
1.54

finishing

Deportivo Coopsol+0.00on par
Academia Cantolao+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Deportivo Coopsol ↓

Academia Cantolao →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Deportivo Coopsol or draw
75%
Deportivo Coopsol or Academia Cantolao
73%
Draw or Academia Cantolao
52%

Winning margin

Deportivo Coopsol wins by 2+
23%
Academia Cantolao wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Deportivo Coopsol 1+ goals
76%
Deportivo Coopsol 2+ goals
42%
Deportivo Coopsol 3+ goals
17%
Academia Cantolao 1+ goals
62%
Academia Cantolao 2+ goals
25%
Academia Cantolao 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Deportivo Coopsol (draw refunded)
65%
Academia Cantolao (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Deportivo Coopsol at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.02 · 90 matches

Academia Cantolao away — creates 0.89, concedes 1.54 · 28 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Deportivo Coopsol attack 1.32 + Academia Cantolao defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.43

Academia Cantolao attack 0.89 + Deportivo Coopsol defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Deportivo Coopsol scores more
48%
level
27%
Academia Cantolao scores more
25%

Deportivo Coopsol at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Deportivo Coopsol will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Deportivo Coopsol vs Academia Cantolao

Deportivo Coopsol beat Academia Cantolao 1-0 in Segunda División on September 15, 2025.

The match was played at Estadio Romulo Shaw Cisneros in Huaral.