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Daegu FC vs Suwon City FC — K League 2 2026

Daegu FC
Daegu FC
Preview
10:30
Suwon City FC
Suwon City FC
7/25/2026K League 2K League 2 · Round 19DGB Daegu Bank Park
Big match
39%
Daegu FC
model favours
39%23%38%

Suwon City FC raise their game against the top half — 53% wins vs the upper half, only 44% vs the lower

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
65%
over 2.5 goals
66%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Daegu FC39%
×Draw23%
Suwon City FC38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Daegu FC
1.68
Suwon City FC
1.67

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 9 home / 20 away

creates per match

Daegu FC
2.11
Suwon City FC
2.00

allows per match

Daegu FC
1.33
Suwon City FC
1.25

finishing

Daegu FC+0.00on par
Suwon City FC+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Daegu FC ↓

Suwon City FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
43%57%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Daegu FC or draw
62%
Daegu FC or Suwon City FC
77%
Draw or Suwon City FC
61%

Winning margin

Daegu FC wins by 2+
20%
Suwon City FC wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Daegu FC 1+ goals
81%
Daegu FC 2+ goals
50%
Daegu FC 3+ goals
24%
Suwon City FC 1+ goals
81%
Suwon City FC 2+ goals
50%
Suwon City FC 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Daegu FC (draw refunded)
50%
Suwon City FC (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Daegu FC at home — creates 2.11, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

Suwon City FC away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.25 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Daegu FC attack 2.11 + Suwon City FC defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.68

Suwon City FC attack 2.00 + Daegu FC defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Daegu FC scores more
39%
level
23%
Suwon City FC scores more
38%

Daegu FC at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Daegu FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Top-of-the-table clash — Daegu FC 3 vs Suwon City FC 4
  • Both teams scored in 9 of the last 10 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
FC
DLWWW
FC
DWWWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Daegu FC host Suwon City FC

July 25, 2026: Daegu FC take on Suwon City FC in K League 2. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Daegu FC host Suwon City FC at DGB Daegu Bank Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.