Cyprus U19 0–7 Netherlands U19: Result & Stats

Cyprus U19

FT

0 – 7

HT: 0 – 2

Netherlands U19

E. Gurbuz 90'

T. van den Elshout 84', 66'

M. Bahaty 73'

J. van den Berg 47'

D. Agustien 36'

A. Thomas 30'

11/12/2025

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification · Qualifying Round - 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Cyprus U194%

×Draw11%

Netherlands U1985%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Cyprus U19Expected goals in this matchNetherlands U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.46

2.79

Cyprus U19

0.46

Netherlands U19

2.79

Netherlands U19 creates 507% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 10 away

0.33

creates per match

2.90

2.67

allows per match

0.60

creates per match

Cyprus U19

0.33

Netherlands U19

2.90

allows per match

Cyprus U19

2.67

Netherlands U19

0.60

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cyprus U19+0.00on par

Netherlands U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over62
Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No65
Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cyprus U19 ↓

Netherlands U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–111%

0–215%

0–314%

0–410%

1

1–02%

1–15%

1–27%

1–37%

1–45%

2

2–00%

2–11%

2–22%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–00%

3–10%

3–20%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–00%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–2 (15%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

62%38%3.5

39%61%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Cyprus U19 or draw

15%

Cyprus U19 or Netherlands U19

89%

Draw or Netherlands U19

96%

Winning margin

Cyprus U19 wins by 2+

1%

Netherlands U19 wins by 2+

65%

Team goals

Cyprus U19 1+ goals

37%

Cyprus U19 2+ goals

8%

Cyprus U19 3+ goals

1%

Netherlands U19 1+ goals

94%

Netherlands U19 2+ goals

76%

Netherlands U19 3+ goals

52%

Draw no bet

Cyprus U19 (draw refunded)

5%

Netherlands U19 (draw refunded)

95%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cyprus U19 at home — creates 0.33, concedes 2.67 · 6 matches

Netherlands U19 away — creates 2.90, concedes 0.60 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cyprus U19 attack 0.33 + Netherlands U19 defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.46

Netherlands U19 attack 2.90 + Cyprus U19 defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 85%?"

Cyprus U19 scores more

4%

level

11%

Netherlands U19 scores more

85%

Netherlands U19 at 85% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 85% does not mean "Netherlands U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

30'

A. Thomas

33'

G. Skafi← K. Ioannou

36'

D. Agustien↳ S. Kluivert

46'

A. Christoforou← G. Tziortzis

46'

A. Nikolaou← A. Efstathiou

47'

J. van den Berg↳ D. Agustien

61'

P. I. Ioannou← M. Theodosiou

61'

J. Koller← D. Agustien

61'

E. Gurbuz← L. Messori

61'

T. van den Elshout← S. Kluivert

66'

T. van den Elshout↳ N. El Harmouz

71'

M. van der Lans← G. Vianello

71'

M. Bahaty← A. Thomas

73'

C. Papadopoulos← G. Psilogenis

73'

83'

84'

90'

Cyprus

Netherlands

1

Velde

15

▼

Vianello

3

Johnson

4

Bouwman

5

A

Jetten

20

⚽A

▼

Agustien

6

A

Harmouz

8

⚽

Berg

7

▼

Messori

9

A

▼

Kluivert

11

⚽

▼

1

3

13

5

▼

Ioannou

4

Petousis

6

▼

Psilogeni

8

▼

Tziortzis

7

▼

Efstathio

9

Loukaidis

10

▼

Theodosio

18

Charalamp

Manager: V. Koulountis

33'▲G. Skafi←▼K. Ioannou

46'▲A. Christoforou←▼G. Tziortzis

46'▲A. Nikolaou←▼A. Efstathiou

61'▲P. I. Ioannou←▼M. Theodosiou

73'▲C. Papadopoulos←▼G. Psilogenis

Cyprus U19 substitutes

12Michos2Skafi11Panagi14Vattis15Ioannou16Christoforou17Evangelou19Nikolaou20Papadopoulos

Manager: Adil Ramzi

61'▲J. Koller←▼D. Agustien

61'▲E. Gurbuz←▼L. Messori

61'▲T. van den Elshout←▼S. Kluivert

71'▲M. van der Lans←▼G. Vianello

71'▲M. Bahaty←▼A. Thomas

Netherlands U19 substitutes

16Zon2Oldenstam10Koller12Lans14Kraaijeveld17Gurbuz18Manuhutu19Elshout21Bahaty

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Cyprus U19 0–7 Netherlands U19

Netherlands U19 beat Cyprus U19 7-0 in UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification on November 12, 2025.

Goals: A. Thomas (30'), D. Agustien (36'), J. van den Berg (47'), T. van den Elshout (66', 84'), M. Bahaty (73'), E. Gurbuz (90').

Cyprus U19 vs Netherlands U19 — UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification 2022

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

UEFA U19 Championship - Qualification: Cyprus U19 0–7 Netherlands U19