Cuniburo 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC: Result & Stats

Cuniburo

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Mushuc Runa SC

11/29/2025

Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 6Estadio Olimpico Guillermo Albornoz

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Cuniburo49%

×Draw26%

Mushuc Runa SC26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CuniburoExpected goals in this matchMushuc Runa SC

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.52

1.03

Cuniburo

1.52

Mushuc Runa SC

1.03

Cuniburo creates 48% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 117 away

1.22

creates per match

0.95

1.11

allows per match

1.83

creates per match

Cuniburo

1.22

Mushuc Runa SC

0.95

allows per match

Cuniburo

1.11

Mushuc Runa SC

1.83

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cuniburo+0.00on par

Mushuc Runa SC+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cuniburo ↓

Mushuc Runa SC →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Cuniburo or draw

74%

Cuniburo or Mushuc Runa SC

74%

Draw or Mushuc Runa SC

51%

Winning margin

Cuniburo wins by 2+

25%

Mushuc Runa SC wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Cuniburo 1+ goals

78%

Cuniburo 2+ goals

45%

Cuniburo 3+ goals

20%

Mushuc Runa SC 1+ goals

64%

Mushuc Runa SC 2+ goals

28%

Mushuc Runa SC 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Cuniburo (draw refunded)

65%

Mushuc Runa SC (draw refunded)

35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cuniburo at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.11 · 18 matches

Mushuc Runa SC away — creates 0.95, concedes 1.83 · 117 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cuniburo attack 1.22 + Mushuc Runa SC defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.52

Mushuc Runa SC attack 0.95 + Cuniburo defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Cuniburo scores more

49%

level

26%

Mushuc Runa SC scores more

26%

Cuniburo at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Cuniburo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

31

G. Mina

Mushuc Runa SC · D

7.5

Match Events

18'

Edison Hernandez

46'

G. Nardelli← E. Hernandez

46'

J. L. Mancilla Quinones← B. Bentaberry

60'

Kevin Ushina

68'

J. Rodriguez← L. Gomez

74'

S. Castro← R. Burbano

80'

D. Luna← A. Melo

80'

J. Verges← C. Penilla

86'

F. Mera← R. Ibarra

90+1'

W. J. Chala Rosales← K. Peralta

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CuniburoMushuc

Overview

58%Possession42%

9Total Shots5

7Corners5

16Fouls14

Shots

9Total Shots5

2On Target2

4Off Target2

3Blocked1

6Inside Box1

3Outside Box4

Passing

58%Possession42%

375Total Passes271

319Accurate Passes213

85%Pass Accuracy79%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

16Fouls14

2Yellow Cards0

2Offsides1