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Talleres Remedios vs Deportivo Laferrere — Primera C 2026

Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios
FT
1 – 0
Deportivo Laferrere
Deportivo Laferrere
8/12/2012Primera CPrimera C · Round 2Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Talleres Remedios43%
×Draw28%
Deportivo Laferrere29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Talleres Remedios
1.27
Deportivo Laferrere
0.99

Talleres Remedios creates 28% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 102 away

creates per match

Talleres Remedios
1.50
Deportivo Laferrere
1.24

allows per match

Talleres Remedios
0.75
Deportivo Laferrere
1.03

finishing

Talleres Remedios+0.00on par
Deportivo Laferrere+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Talleres Remedios ↓

Deportivo Laferrere →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Talleres Remedios or draw
71%
Talleres Remedios or Deportivo Laferrere
72%
Draw or Deportivo Laferrere
57%

Winning margin

Talleres Remedios wins by 2+
19%
Deportivo Laferrere wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Talleres Remedios 1+ goals
72%
Talleres Remedios 2+ goals
36%
Talleres Remedios 3+ goals
14%
Deportivo Laferrere 1+ goals
63%
Deportivo Laferrere 2+ goals
26%
Deportivo Laferrere 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Talleres Remedios (draw refunded)
60%
Deportivo Laferrere (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Talleres Remedios at home — creates 1.50, concedes 0.75 · 16 matches

Deportivo Laferrere away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.03 · 102 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Talleres Remedios attack 1.50 + Deportivo Laferrere defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.27

Deportivo Laferrere attack 1.24 + Talleres Remedios defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.99

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Talleres Remedios scores more
43%
level
28%
Deportivo Laferrere scores more
29%

Talleres Remedios at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Talleres Remedios will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Primera C: Talleres Remedios 1–0 Deportivo Laferrere

Talleres Remedios beat Deportivo Laferrere 1-0 in Primera C on August 12, 2012.

The match was played at Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada.