Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

CS Mioveni vs Universitatea Craiova — Friendlies Clubs 2026

CS Mioveni
CS Mioveni
CANC
11:00
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
1/14/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

CS Mioveni38%
×Draw24%
Universitatea Craiova38%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CS Mioveni
1.50
Universitatea Craiova
1.50

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

CS Mioveni
2.25
Universitatea Craiova
1.25

allows per match

CS Mioveni
1.75
Universitatea Craiova
0.75

finishing

CS Mioveni+0.00on par
Universitatea Craiova+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CS Mioveni ↓

Universitatea Craiova →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

CS Mioveni or draw
62%
CS Mioveni or Universitatea Craiova
76%
Draw or Universitatea Craiova
62%

Winning margin

CS Mioveni wins by 2+
18%
Universitatea Craiova wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

CS Mioveni 1+ goals
78%
CS Mioveni 2+ goals
44%
CS Mioveni 3+ goals
19%
Universitatea Craiova 1+ goals
78%
Universitatea Craiova 2+ goals
44%
Universitatea Craiova 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

CS Mioveni (draw refunded)
50%
Universitatea Craiova (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CS Mioveni at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

Universitatea Craiova away — creates 1.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CS Mioveni attack 2.25 + Universitatea Craiova defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.50

Universitatea Craiova attack 1.25 + CS Mioveni defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

CS Mioveni scores more
38%
level
24%
Universitatea Craiova scores more
38%

CS Mioveni at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "CS Mioveni will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

CS Mioveni face Universitatea Craiova (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with CS Mioveni hosting Universitatea Craiova. Match starts January 14, 2023. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.