Scoreo

Crystal Palace vs HuddersfieldPremier League 2026

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
FT
03
HT: 02
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
S. Mounié 78', 26'
J. Ward 23' (OG)
8/12/2017Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 1Selhurst Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

Crystal Palace53%
×Draw25%
Huddersfield22%
Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Crystal Palace
1.60
Huddersfield
0.95

Crystal Palace creates 68% more chances

Season form · 207 home / 38 away

creates per match

Crystal Palace
1.16
Huddersfield
0.63

allows per match

Crystal Palace
1.26
Huddersfield
2.05

finishing

Crystal Palace+0.00on par
Huddersfield+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Crystal Palace

Huddersfield
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
017%
024%
031%
040%
1
1013%
1112%
126%
132%
140%
2
2010%
2110%
225%
231%
240%
3
305%
315%
322%
331%
340%
4
402%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Crystal Palace or draw
78%
Crystal Palace or Huddersfield
75%
Draw or Huddersfield
47%

Winning margin

Crystal Palace wins by 2+
28%
Huddersfield wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Crystal Palace 1+ goals
80%
Crystal Palace 2+ goals
47%
Crystal Palace 3+ goals
22%
Huddersfield 1+ goals
61%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
25%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Crystal Palace (draw refunded)
70%
Huddersfield (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Crystal Palace at homecreates 1.16, concedes 1.26 · 207 matches

Huddersfield awaycreates 0.63, concedes 2.05 · 38 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Crystal Palace attack 1.16 + Huddersfield defence 2.05 → ÷2 → 1.60

Huddersfield attack 0.63 + Crystal Palace defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Crystal Palace scores more
53%
level
25%
Huddersfield scores more
22%

Crystal Palace at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Crystal Palace will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

24
S. MouniéHuddersfieldHuddersfield · F
8.1

Possession

56%Crystal

Shots

14Crystal

Pass accuracy

55%Crystal

Statistics

CrystalHuddersfield
Overview
56%Possession44%
14Total Shots9
12Corners9
7Fouls19
Shots
14Total Shots9
4On Target6
7Off Target3
3Blocked0
10Inside Box7
4Outside Box3
Passing
56%Possession44%
391Total Passes306
304Accurate Passes199
78%Pass Accuracy65%
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
Discipline
7Fouls19
1Yellow Cards3
0Offsides2

Premier League: Crystal Palace 0–3 Huddersfield

Huddersfield beat Crystal Palace 3-0 in Premier League on August 12, 2017.

Goals: J. Ward (23' o.g.), S. Mounié (26', 78').

Crystal Palace controlled possession (56%) and registered 14 shots to 9.

The match was played at Selhurst Park in London.