Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Ittihad Khemisset — Botola 2 2025

CR Khemis Zemamra
CR Khemis Zemamra
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Ittihad Khemisset
Ittihad Khemisset
12/26/2021Botola 2Botola 2 · Round 14Stade Larbi Zaouli

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

CR Khemis Zemamra47%
×Draw29%
Ittihad Khemisset24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CR Khemis Zemamra
1.25
Ittihad Khemisset
0.80

CR Khemis Zemamra creates 56% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 75 away

creates per match

CR Khemis Zemamra
1.24
Ittihad Khemisset
1.03

allows per match

CR Khemis Zemamra
0.56
Ittihad Khemisset
1.27

finishing

CR Khemis Zemamra+0.00on par
Ittihad Khemisset+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CR Khemis Zemamra ↓

Ittihad Khemisset →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

CR Khemis Zemamra or draw
76%
CR Khemis Zemamra or Ittihad Khemisset
71%
Draw or Ittihad Khemisset
53%

Winning margin

CR Khemis Zemamra wins by 2+
21%
Ittihad Khemisset wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

CR Khemis Zemamra 1+ goals
71%
CR Khemis Zemamra 2+ goals
36%
CR Khemis Zemamra 3+ goals
13%
Ittihad Khemisset 1+ goals
55%
Ittihad Khemisset 2+ goals
19%
Ittihad Khemisset 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

CR Khemis Zemamra (draw refunded)
66%
Ittihad Khemisset (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CR Khemis Zemamra at home — creates 1.24, concedes 0.56 · 45 matches

Ittihad Khemisset away — creates 1.03, concedes 1.27 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CR Khemis Zemamra attack 1.24 + Ittihad Khemisset defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.25

Ittihad Khemisset attack 1.03 + CR Khemis Zemamra defence 0.56 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

CR Khemis Zemamra scores more
47%
level
29%
Ittihad Khemisset scores more
24%

CR Khemis Zemamra at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "CR Khemis Zemamra will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Ittihad Khemisset

Ittihad Khemisset beat CR Khemis Zemamra 2-1 in Botola 2 on December 26, 2021.

The match was played at Stade Larbi Zaouli in Casablanca.