Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Cotonsport vs Fauve Azur Elite — Elite One 2019

Cotonsport
Cotonsport
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Fauve Azur Elite
Fauve Azur Elite
M. Limane 90'
4/6/2025Elite OneElite One · Round 18Stade Annexe Roumdé Adjia

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Cotonsport57%
×Draw27%
Fauve Azur Elite16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cotonsport
1.44
Fauve Azur Elite
0.63

Cotonsport creates 129% more chances

Season form · 92 home / 15 away

creates per match

Cotonsport
1.80
Fauve Azur Elite
0.60

allows per match

Cotonsport
0.65
Fauve Azur Elite
1.07

finishing

Cotonsport+0.00on par
Fauve Azur Elite+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cotonsport ↓

Fauve Azur Elite →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Cotonsport or draw
84%
Cotonsport or Fauve Azur Elite
73%
Draw or Fauve Azur Elite
43%

Winning margin

Cotonsport wins by 2+
29%
Fauve Azur Elite wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Cotonsport 1+ goals
76%
Cotonsport 2+ goals
42%
Cotonsport 3+ goals
18%
Fauve Azur Elite 1+ goals
47%
Fauve Azur Elite 2+ goals
13%
Fauve Azur Elite 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Cotonsport (draw refunded)
78%
Fauve Azur Elite (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cotonsport at home — creates 1.80, concedes 0.65 · 92 matches

Fauve Azur Elite away — creates 0.60, concedes 1.07 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cotonsport attack 1.80 + Fauve Azur Elite defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.44

Fauve Azur Elite attack 0.60 + Cotonsport defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Cotonsport scores more
57%
level
27%
Fauve Azur Elite scores more
16%

Cotonsport at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Cotonsport will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

90'
M. Limane

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Elite One: Cotonsport 1–0 Fauve Azur Elite

Cotonsport beat Fauve Azur Elite 1-0 in Elite One on April 6, 2025.

Goals: M. Limane (90').

The match was played at Stade Annexe Roumdé Adjia in Garoua.