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Çorluspor 1947 vs Edirnespor — League #552 2026

Çorluspor 1947
Çorluspor 1947
FT
6 – 0
HT: 4 – 0
Edirnespor
Edirnespor
C. Devrim 88'
M. Kocaer 85'
M. Arslantas 26'
K. Yagci 22'
M. Khalil 14', 9'
4/5/2026League #552League #552 · Group 1 - 28Mustafa Kemal Atatürk Stadyumu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Çorluspor 194787%
×Draw9%
Edirnespor4%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Çorluspor 1947
3.08
Edirnespor
0.50

Çorluspor 1947 creates 516% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Çorluspor 1947
2.67
Edirnespor
0.00

allows per match

Çorluspor 1947
1.00
Edirnespor
3.50

finishing

Çorluspor 1947+0.00on par
Edirnespor+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Çorluspor 1947 ↓

Edirnespor →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–14%
1–21%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–014%
3–17%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–011%
4–15%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (14%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Çorluspor 1947 or draw
96%
Çorluspor 1947 or Edirnespor
91%
Draw or Edirnespor
13%

Winning margin

Çorluspor 1947 wins by 2+
69%
Edirnespor wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Çorluspor 1947 1+ goals
95%
Çorluspor 1947 2+ goals
81%
Çorluspor 1947 3+ goals
58%
Edirnespor 1+ goals
39%
Edirnespor 2+ goals
9%
Edirnespor 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Çorluspor 1947 (draw refunded)
96%
Edirnespor (draw refunded)
4%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Çorluspor 1947 at home — creates 2.67, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Edirnespor away — creates 0.00, concedes 3.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Çorluspor 1947 attack 2.67 + Edirnespor defence 3.50 → ÷2 → 3.08

Edirnespor attack 0.00 + Çorluspor 1947 defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 87%?"

Çorluspor 1947 scores more
87%
level
9%
Edirnespor scores more
4%

Çorluspor 1947 at 87% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 87% does not mean "Çorluspor 1947 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'
M. Khalil↳ F. Ozler
14'
M. Khalil↳ E. Kayar
22'
K. Yagci↳ F. Ozler
26'
M. Arslantas↳ E. Cavus
85'
M. Kocaer↳ C. Aktas
88'
C. Devrim↳ M. Kocaer

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Çorluspor 1947 vs Edirnespor

Çorluspor 1947 beat Edirnespor 6-0 in League #552 on April 5, 2026.

Goals: M. Khalil (9', 14'), K. Yagci (22'), M. Arslantas (26'), M. Kocaer (85'), C. Devrim (88').

The match was played at Mustafa Kemal Atatürk Stadyumu in Velimeşe.