Omladinac NB vs Bačka 1901 — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019
Match Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 27+ matches
Omladinac NB51%
Bačka 190126%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Omladinac NB creates 50% more chances
Season form · 101 home / 27 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Over58
- Under42
3+ goals likely
Both teams score
- Yes59
- No41
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Omladinac NB ↓
Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Omladinac NB at home — creates 1.61, concedes 1.15 · 101 matches
Bačka 1901 away — creates 1.26, concedes 2.00 · 27 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Omladinac NB attack 1.61 + Bačka 1901 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.81
Bačka 1901 attack 1.26 + Omladinac NB defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.21
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 51%?"
Omladinac NB at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 51% does not mean "Omladinac NB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Železničar PančevoBačka 1901
Radnički Zrenjanin
OFK Vršac
Dinamo Pančevo
Radnički Sombor
Bratstvo Prigrevica
FK BecejOmladinac NB
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1. Maj Ruma
Borac Sakule
Vojvodina 1928
Kozara
Hajduk 1912 Kula
Dunav Stari BanovciIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Omladinac NB host Bačka 1901 on Saturday, 21 March 2020 at 00:00. The match is part of the Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019/2020 season.
Omladinac NB vs Bačka 1901 — Match Preview
Omladinac NB face Bačka 1901 on March 21, 2020 in this Srpska Liga - Vojvodina fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.
Omladinac NB host Bačka 1901 at Stadion FK Omladinac.
Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.