Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Clube Vital U20 vs GE Osasco U20 — Paulista - U20 2026

Clube Vital U20
Clube Vital U20
FT
3 – 4
HT: 0 – 0
GE Osasco U20
GE Osasco U20
Unknown 90+2', 70', 50'
Unknown 83', 73', 60', 57'
5/24/2024Paulista - U20Paulista - U20 · 1st Phase - 7Estádio Municipal Marcos Eduardo Camargo Truvilho

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Clube Vital U2037%
×Draw22%
GE Osasco U2041%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Clube Vital U20
1.70
GE Osasco U20
1.80

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 5 home / 5 away

creates per match

Clube Vital U20
1.00
GE Osasco U20
1.60

allows per match

Clube Vital U20
2.00
GE Osasco U20
2.40

finishing

Clube Vital U20+0.00on par
GE Osasco U20+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 68Under: 3268%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 68No: 3268%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clube Vital U20 ↓

GE Osasco U20 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Clube Vital U20 or draw
59%
Clube Vital U20 or GE Osasco U20
78%
Draw or GE Osasco U20
63%

Winning margin

Clube Vital U20 wins by 2+
19%
GE Osasco U20 wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Clube Vital U20 1+ goals
82%
Clube Vital U20 2+ goals
51%
Clube Vital U20 3+ goals
24%
GE Osasco U20 1+ goals
83%
GE Osasco U20 2+ goals
54%
GE Osasco U20 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Clube Vital U20 (draw refunded)
47%
GE Osasco U20 (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clube Vital U20 at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

GE Osasco U20 away — creates 1.60, concedes 2.40 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clube Vital U20 attack 1.00 + GE Osasco U20 defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 1.70

GE Osasco U20 attack 1.60 + Clube Vital U20 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Clube Vital U20 scores more
37%
level
22%
GE Osasco U20 scores more
41%

GE Osasco U20 at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "GE Osasco U20 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

50'
57'
60'
70'
73'
83'
90+2'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Clube Vital U20 3 – 4 GE Osasco U20

GE Osasco U20 beat Clube Vital U20 4-3 in Paulista - U20 on May 24, 2024.

Goals: ? (50', 57', 60', 70', 73', 83', 90+2').

The match was played at Estádio Municipal Marcos Eduardo Camargo Truvilho in Ibiúna, São Paulo.