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Club Sando vs Cunupia — League #591 2026

Club Sando
Club Sando
FT
7 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Cunupia
Cunupia
S. Henry 87'
E. Kesar 82'
K. Cummings 80'
I. Hudson 67', 53'
M. Ramdeen 40'
S. Hamilton 10'
A. Andrews 34'
12/26/2024League #591League #591 · Round 4Mahaica Oval

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Club Sando63%
×Draw17%
Cunupia20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Club Sando
3.02
Cunupia
1.70

Club Sando creates 78% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 6 away

creates per match

Club Sando
1.55
Cunupia
1.67

allows per match

Club Sando
1.73
Cunupia
4.50

finishing

Club Sando+0.00on par
Cunupia+0.00on par

Total goals

84%Over
  • Over84
  • Under16

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

78%Yes
  • Yes78
  • No22

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Club Sando ↓

Cunupia →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–03%
1–15%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–25%
4–33%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 82% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
84%16%3.5
68%32%4.5
49%51%

Double chance

Club Sando or draw
80%
Club Sando or Cunupia
83%
Draw or Cunupia
37%

Winning margin

Club Sando wins by 2+
44%
Cunupia wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Club Sando 1+ goals
95%
Club Sando 2+ goals
80%
Club Sando 3+ goals
57%
Cunupia 1+ goals
82%
Cunupia 2+ goals
51%
Cunupia 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Club Sando (draw refunded)
76%
Cunupia (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
73%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Club Sando at home — creates 1.55, concedes 1.73 · 11 matches

Cunupia away — creates 1.67, concedes 4.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Club Sando attack 1.55 + Cunupia defence 4.50 → ÷2 → 3.02

Cunupia attack 1.67 + Club Sando defence 1.73 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Club Sando scores more
63%
level
17%
Cunupia scores more
20%

Club Sando at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Club Sando will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'
S. Hamilton
34'
A. Andrews
40'
M. Ramdeen
53'
I. Hudson
67'
I. Hudson
80'
K. Cummings
82'
E. Kesar
87'
S. Henry

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Club Sando vs Cunupia

Club Sando beat Cunupia 7-1 in League #591 on December 26, 2024.

Goals: S. Hamilton (10'), A. Andrews (34'), M. Ramdeen (40'), I. Hudson (53', 67'), K. Cummings (80'), E. Kesar (82'), S. Henry (87').

The match was played at Mahaica Oval in Point Fortin.