Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Club Queretaro vs Colorado Rapids — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Club Queretaro
Club Queretaro
FT
1 – 5
HT: 1 – 5
Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
Unknown 80'
C. Harris 100'
D. Yapi 83'
K. Stewart-Baynes 74'
B. A. Galvan 41+3'
C. Bassett 13'
1/29/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Club Queretaro19%
×Draw18%
Colorado Rapids64%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.5%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.5% correct across 581,483 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Club Queretaro
1.38
Colorado Rapids
2.63

Colorado Rapids creates 91% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 4 away

creates per match

Club Queretaro
1.25
Colorado Rapids
2.75

allows per match

Club Queretaro
2.50
Colorado Rapids
1.50

finishing

Club Queretaro+0.00on par
Colorado Rapids+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Club Queretaro ↓

Colorado Rapids →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–26%
0–36%
0–44%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–35%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–32%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
56%44%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Club Queretaro or draw
36%
Club Queretaro or Colorado Rapids
82%
Draw or Colorado Rapids
81%

Winning margin

Club Queretaro wins by 2+
8%
Colorado Rapids wins by 2+
43%

Team goals

Club Queretaro 1+ goals
75%
Club Queretaro 2+ goals
40%
Club Queretaro 3+ goals
16%
Colorado Rapids 1+ goals
93%
Colorado Rapids 2+ goals
73%
Colorado Rapids 3+ goals
48%

Draw no bet

Club Queretaro (draw refunded)
23%
Colorado Rapids (draw refunded)
77%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Club Queretaro at home — creates 1.25, concedes 2.50 · 4 matches

Colorado Rapids away — creates 2.75, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Club Queretaro attack 1.25 + Colorado Rapids defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.38

Colorado Rapids attack 2.75 + Club Queretaro defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 64%?"

Club Queretaro scores more
19%
level
18%
Colorado Rapids scores more
64%

Colorado Rapids at 64% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 64% does not mean "Colorado Rapids will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'
C. Bassett
41+3'
B. A. Galvan
74'
K. Stewart-Baynes
80'
83'
D. Yapi
100'
C. Harris

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Club Queretaro 1–5 Colorado Rapids

Colorado Rapids beat Club Queretaro 5-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 29, 2024.

Goals: C. Bassett (13'), B. A. Galvan (41+3'), K. Stewart-Baynes (74'), ? (80'), D. Yapi (83'), C. Harris (100').

The match was played at TBC in TBC.