Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–3 Sport Huancayo

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

FT

1 – 3

HT: 0 – 0

Sport Huancayo

J. Manzaneda 51'

J. Sanguinetti 90'

M. de Jesus 76'

N. Lujan 70'

4/11/2025

Primera División · Apertura - 8Estadio Municipal Los Chankas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 43+ matches

Club Deportivo Los Chankas53%

×Draw25%

Sport Huancayo22%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Club Deportivo Los ChankasExpected goals in this matchSport Huancayo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.61

0.95

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

1.61

Sport Huancayo

0.95

Club Deportivo Los Chankas creates 69% more chances

Season form · 43 home / 107 away

1.74

creates per match

0.92

0.98

allows per match

1.49

creates per match

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

1.74

Sport Huancayo

0.92

allows per match

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

0.98

Sport Huancayo

1.49

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Club Deportivo Los Chankas+0.00on par

Sport Huancayo+0.00on par

Total goals

Under53
Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Club Deportivo Los Chankas ↓

Sport Huancayo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–112%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–110%

2–25%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

47%53%3.5

25%75%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw

78%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas or Sport Huancayo

75%

Draw or Sport Huancayo

47%

Winning margin

Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins by 2+

28%

Sport Huancayo wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1+ goals

80%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2+ goals

48%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3+ goals

22%

Sport Huancayo 1+ goals

61%

Sport Huancayo 2+ goals

25%

Sport Huancayo 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Club Deportivo Los Chankas (draw refunded)

70%

Sport Huancayo (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home — creates 1.74, concedes 0.98 · 43 matches

Sport Huancayo away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.49 · 107 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Club Deportivo Los Chankas attack 1.74 + Sport Huancayo defence 1.49 → ÷2 → 1.61

Sport Huancayo attack 0.92 + Club Deportivo Los Chankas defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Club Deportivo Los Chankas scores more

53%

level

25%

Sport Huancayo scores more

22%

Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Club Deportivo Los Chankas will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

11

J. Sanguinetti

Sport Huancayo · M

8.6

Match Events

7'

22'

34'

35'

51'

J. Manzaneda↳ A. Quintana

55'

Santiago Torres

55'

Alan Perez

55'

J. Barreda← Y. Murillo

59'

Pablo Bueno

65'

J. Tunqui← A. Quiroz

69'

J. Posito← R. Salcedo

69'

P. Magallanes← E. Fernandez

69'

S. Barboza← J. Madrid

70'

N. Lujan↳ J. Sanguinetti

72'

I. Camargo← F. Torres

74'

Nahuel Luján

76'

M. de Jesus↳ J. Sanguinetti

80'

J. Palomino← J. Guivin Tanta

80'

F. Fernandez← L. Mifflin

90+3'

Javier Sanguinetti

90+1'

Hugo Ángeles

90'

J. Sanguinetti

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ClubSport

Overview

57%Possession43%

14Total Shots9

7Corners4

13Fouls17

Shots

14Total Shots9

3On Target5

5Off Target3

6Blocked1

6Inside Box5

8Outside Box4

Passing

57%Possession43%

305Total Passes222

236Accurate Passes154

77%Pass Accuracy69%

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

Discipline

13Fouls17

3Yellow Cards6

Match Recap: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Huancayo

Sport Huancayo beat Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3-1 in Primera División on April 11, 2025.

Goals: J. Manzaneda (51'), N. Lujan (70'), M. de Jesus (76'), J. Sanguinetti (90').

Club Deportivo Los Chankas controlled possession (57%) and registered 14 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas in Andahuaylas.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Huancayo — Primera División 2020

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sport Huancayo