Clermont Foot 3–2 Annecy: Result & Stats | Ligue 2

Clermont Foot

FT

3 – 2

HT: 2 – 0

Annecy

M. Douane 64'

M. Bassouamina 26'

F. Diédhiou 1'

Y. Demoncy 75'

C. Konaté 54' (OG)

5/2/2025

Ligue 2 · Round 33Stade Gabriel-Montpied

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 72+ matches

Clermont Foot43%

×Draw27%

Annecy31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 584,459 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Clermont FootExpected goals in this matchAnnecy

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.39

1.14

Clermont Foot

1.39

Annecy

1.14

Clermont Foot creates 22% more chances

Season form · 94 home / 72 away

1.31

creates per match

1.24

1.03

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Clermont Foot

1.31

Annecy

1.24

allows per match

Clermont Foot

1.03

Annecy

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Clermont Foot+0.00on par

Annecy+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Clermont Foot ↓

Annecy →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Clermont Foot or draw

69%

Clermont Foot or Annecy

73%

Draw or Annecy

57%

Winning margin

Clermont Foot wins by 2+

20%

Annecy wins by 2+

12%

Team goals

Clermont Foot 1+ goals

75%

Clermont Foot 2+ goals

40%

Clermont Foot 3+ goals

16%

Annecy 1+ goals

68%

Annecy 2+ goals

32%

Annecy 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Clermont Foot (draw refunded)

58%

Annecy (draw refunded)

42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Clermont Foot at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.03 · 94 matches

Annecy away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.47 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Clermont Foot attack 1.31 + Annecy defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.39

Annecy attack 1.24 + Clermont Foot defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Clermont Foot scores more

43%

level

27%

Annecy scores more

31%

Clermont Foot at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Clermont Foot will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

24

Y. Demoncy

Annecy · F

7.9

Match Events

1'

F. Diédhiou↳ K. Bamba

26'

M. Bassouamina↳ H. Saivet

36'

A. Ackra← J. Gastien

41'

Yohan Demoncy

46'

A. Yahi← Q. Paris

46'

F. Lajugie← J. Kouadio

46'

J. Tiendrébéogo← K. Djoco

54'

C. KonatéOwn goal

55'

Baïla Diallo

62'

Théo Guivarch

64'

M. Douane

68'

R. Neelakandan← C. Billemaz

75'

O. Diop← M. Bassouamina

75'

79'

82'

83'

86'

Y. Bellache← M. Douane

86'

Y. Magnin← K. Bamba

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

ClermontAnnecy

Overview

41%Possession59%

5Total Shots10

0Corners5

15Fouls17

Shots

5Total Shots10

3On Target1

2Off Target7

0Blocked2

3Inside Box6

2Outside Box4

Passing

41%Possession59%

357Total Passes501

258Accurate Passes411

72%Pass Accuracy82%

Discipline

15Fouls17

3Yellow Cards2

3Offsides2

Match Recap: Clermont Foot vs Annecy

Clermont Foot beat Annecy 3-2 in Ligue 2 on May 2, 2025.

Goals: F. Diédhiou (1'), M. Bassouamina (26'), C. Konaté (54' o.g.), M. Douane (64'), Y. Demoncy (75').

Annecy controlled possession (59%) and registered 10 shots to 5.

The match was played at Stade Gabriel-Montpied in Clermont-Ferrand.

Clermont Foot vs Annecy — Ligue 2 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Clermont Foot vs Annecy