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Cigand SE vs Putnok VSE — NB III - Northeast 2019

Cigand SE
Cigand SE
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Putnok VSE
Putnok VSE
8/10/2025NB III - NortheastNB III - Northeast · Northeast - 3Cigánd Városi Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Cigand SE52%
×Draw24%
Putnok VSE24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cigand SE
1.76
Putnok VSE
1.13

Cigand SE creates 56% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 112 away

creates per match

Cigand SE
1.98
Putnok VSE
1.63

allows per match

Cigand SE
0.62
Putnok VSE
1.54

finishing

Cigand SE+0.00on par
Putnok VSE+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cigand SE ↓

Putnok VSE →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Cigand SE or draw
76%
Cigand SE or Putnok VSE
76%
Draw or Putnok VSE
48%

Winning margin

Cigand SE wins by 2+
29%
Putnok VSE wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Cigand SE 1+ goals
83%
Cigand SE 2+ goals
52%
Cigand SE 3+ goals
26%
Putnok VSE 1+ goals
68%
Putnok VSE 2+ goals
31%
Putnok VSE 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Cigand SE (draw refunded)
68%
Putnok VSE (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cigand SE at home — creates 1.98, concedes 0.62 · 45 matches

Putnok VSE away — creates 1.63, concedes 1.54 · 112 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cigand SE attack 1.98 + Putnok VSE defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.76

Putnok VSE attack 1.63 + Cigand SE defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Cigand SE scores more
52%
level
24%
Putnok VSE scores more
24%

Cigand SE at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Cigand SE will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

NB III - Northeast: Cigand SE 1–1 Putnok VSE

Cigand SE and Putnok VSE drew 1-1 in NB III - Northeast on August 10, 2025.

The match was played at Cigánd Városi Stadion in Cigánd.