Chrobry Głogów 0–0 Wisla Plock: Result & Stats

Chrobry Głogów

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Wisla Plock

2/16/2025

I Liga · Round 20Stadion GOS

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Chrobry Głogów42%

×Draw27%

Wisla Plock31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Chrobry GłogówExpected goals in this matchWisla Plock

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.37

1.15

Chrobry Głogów

1.37

Wisla Plock

1.15

Chrobry Głogów creates 19% more chances

Season form · 131 home / 34 away

1.27

creates per match

1.21

1.08

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Chrobry Głogów

1.27

Wisla Plock

1.21

allows per match

Chrobry Głogów

1.08

Wisla Plock

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Chrobry Głogów+0.00on par

Wisla Plock+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

Yes51
No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chrobry Głogów ↓

Wisla Plock →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Chrobry Głogów or draw

69%

Chrobry Głogów or Wisla Plock

73%

Draw or Wisla Plock

58%

Winning margin

Chrobry Głogów wins by 2+

20%

Wisla Plock wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Chrobry Głogów 1+ goals

75%

Chrobry Głogów 2+ goals

40%

Chrobry Głogów 3+ goals

16%

Wisla Plock 1+ goals

68%

Wisla Plock 2+ goals

32%

Wisla Plock 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Chrobry Głogów (draw refunded)

57%

Wisla Plock (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chrobry Głogów at home — creates 1.27, concedes 1.08 · 131 matches

Wisla Plock away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.47 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chrobry Głogów attack 1.27 + Wisla Plock defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.37

Wisla Plock attack 1.21 + Chrobry Głogów defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Chrobry Głogów scores more

42%

level

27%

Wisla Plock scores more

31%

Chrobry Głogów at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Chrobry Głogów will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

A. Edmundsson

39'

G. Kuchko

46'

M. Brzozowski← G. Kuchko

62'

M. Bougaidis

67'

P. Mucha← S. Bartlewicz

67'

J. Antczak← J. Grič

67'

K. Čustović← D. Barnowski

68'

J. Kuzdra

78'

M. Ozimek← P. Szwedzik

78'

M. Bartolewski← J. Kuzdra

78'

K. Pomorski← Dani Pacheco

80'

K. Tabis

86'

R. Mandrysz

86'

A. Zarówny← K. Tabiś

86'

B. Borowski← P. Krawczyk

89'

I. Salvador

Chrobry

Wisla

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Ł. Becella

67'▲P. Mucha←▼S. Bartlewicz

67'▲J. Antczak←▼J. Grič

78'▲M. Ozimek←▼P. Szwedzik

78'▲M. Bartolewski←▼J. Kuzdra

86'▲A. Zarówny←▼K. Tabiś

Chrobry Głogów substitutes

MuchaAntczakOzimekBartolewskiZarównyArndtMarcinkowskiBoneckiWojciechowski

Manager: M. Misiura

46'▲M. Brzozowski←▼G. Kuchko

67'▲K. Čustović←▼D. Barnowski

78'▲K. Pomorski←▼Dani Pacheco

86'▲B. Borowski←▼P. Krawczyk

Wisla Plock substitutes

BrzozowskiČustovićPomorskiBorowskiSzymańskiFamulakKlonMisiak

I Liga: Chrobry Głogów 0–0 Wisla Plock

Chrobry Głogów and Wisla Plock drew 0-0 in I Liga on February 16, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion GOS in Głogów.

Chrobry Głogów vs Wisla Plock — I Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

I Liga: Chrobry Głogów 0–0 Wisla Plock