Chlumec nad Cidlinou 3–2 Přepeře: Result & Stats

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

FT

3 – 2

HT: 2 – 1

Přepeře

8/16/2025

4. liga - Divizie C · Division C - 2Mestsky Stadion Chlumec

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Chlumec nad Cidlinou31%

×Draw24%

Přepeře45%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Chlumec nad CidlinouExpected goals in this matchPřepeře

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.33

1.64

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

1.33

Přepeře

1.64

Přepeře creates 23% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

1.47

creates per match

1.80

1.47

allows per match

1.20

creates per match

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

1.47

Přepeře

1.80

allows per match

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

1.47

Přepeře

1.20

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Chlumec nad Cidlinou+0.00on par

Přepeře+0.00on par

Total goals

Over57
Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chlumec nad Cidlinou ↓

Přepeře →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–27%

0–34%

0–42%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

57%43%3.5

34%66%4.5

18%82%

Double chance

Chlumec nad Cidlinou or draw

55%

Chlumec nad Cidlinou or Přepeře

76%

Draw or Přepeře

69%

Winning margin

Chlumec nad Cidlinou wins by 2+

14%

Přepeře wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Chlumec nad Cidlinou 1+ goals

74%

Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2+ goals

38%

Chlumec nad Cidlinou 3+ goals

15%

Přepeře 1+ goals

81%

Přepeře 2+ goals

49%

Přepeře 3+ goals

23%

Draw no bet

Chlumec nad Cidlinou (draw refunded)

41%

Přepeře (draw refunded)

59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

48%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chlumec nad Cidlinou at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.47 · 15 matches

Přepeře away — creates 1.80, concedes 1.20 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chlumec nad Cidlinou attack 1.47 + Přepeře defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.33

Přepeře attack 1.80 + Chlumec nad Cidlinou defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.64

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Chlumec nad Cidlinou scores more

31%

level

24%

Přepeře scores more

45%

Přepeře at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Přepeře will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

4. liga - Divizie C: Chlumec nad Cidlinou 3–2 Přepeře

Chlumec nad Cidlinou beat Přepeře 3-2 in 4. liga - Divizie C on August 16, 2025.

The match was played at Mestsky Stadion Chlumec in Chlumec nad Cidlinou.

Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Přepeře — 4. liga - Divizie C 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

4. liga - Divizie C: Chlumec nad Cidlinou 3–2 Přepeře