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Chicken Inn vs Kwekwe United — Premier Soccer League 2026

Chicken Inn
Chicken Inn
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Kwekwe United
Kwekwe United
9/13/2025Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 28Luveve Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Chicken Inn72%
×Draw20%
Kwekwe United9%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Chicken Inn
1.94
Kwekwe United
0.50

Chicken Inn creates 288% more chances

Season form · 96 home / 17 away

creates per match

Chicken Inn
1.11
Kwekwe United
0.35

allows per match

Chicken Inn
0.65
Kwekwe United
2.76

finishing

Chicken Inn+0.00on par
Kwekwe United+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

66%No
  • No66
  • Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Chicken Inn ↓

Kwekwe United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–18%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–016%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–011%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Chicken Inn or draw
91%
Chicken Inn or Kwekwe United
80%
Draw or Kwekwe United
28%

Winning margin

Chicken Inn wins by 2+
45%
Kwekwe United wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Chicken Inn 1+ goals
86%
Chicken Inn 2+ goals
58%
Chicken Inn 3+ goals
30%
Kwekwe United 1+ goals
39%
Kwekwe United 2+ goals
9%
Kwekwe United 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Chicken Inn (draw refunded)
89%
Kwekwe United (draw refunded)
11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Chicken Inn at home — creates 1.11, concedes 0.65 · 96 matches

Kwekwe United away — creates 0.35, concedes 2.76 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Chicken Inn attack 1.11 + Kwekwe United defence 2.76 → ÷2 → 1.94

Kwekwe United attack 0.35 + Chicken Inn defence 0.65 → ÷2 → 0.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Chicken Inn scores more
72%
level
20%
Kwekwe United scores more
9%

Chicken Inn at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Chicken Inn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Chicken Inn vs Kwekwe United

Chicken Inn beat Kwekwe United 2-0 in Premier Soccer League on September 13, 2025.

The match was played at Luveve Stadium in Bulawayo.