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CFR 1907 Cluj vs Rapid — Liga I 2018

CFR 1907 Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj
Preview
17:00
Rapid
Rapid
12/5/2026Liga ILiga I · Round 18
Big match
51%
CFR 1907 Cluj
model favours
51%26%24%

CFR 1907 Cluj are unbeaten in 7 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
54%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 99+ matches

CFR 1907 Cluj51%
×Draw26%
Rapid24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.54
Rapid
0.97

CFR 1907 Cluj creates 59% more chances

Season form · 156 home / 99 away

creates per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.81
Rapid
1.21

allows per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
0.74
Rapid
1.26

finishing

CFR 1907 Cluj+0.00on par
Rapid+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CFR 1907 Cluj ↓

Rapid →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

CFR 1907 Cluj or draw
76%
CFR 1907 Cluj or Rapid
74%
Draw or Rapid
49%

Winning margin

CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+
26%
Rapid wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals
79%
CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals
45%
CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals
20%
Rapid 1+ goals
62%
Rapid 2+ goals
25%
Rapid 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)
68%
Rapid (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CFR 1907 Cluj at home — creates 1.81, concedes 0.74 · 156 matches

Rapid away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.26 · 99 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.81 + Rapid defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.54

Rapid attack 1.21 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

CFR 1907 Cluj scores more
51%
level
26%
Rapid scores more
24%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Rapid score first in only 18% of matches
  • 85% of CFR 1907 Cluj’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in 73% of Rapid’s matches
  • Top-of-the-table clash — CFR 1907 Cluj 4 vs Rapid 2
  • Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Cluj
WDDW
Rapid
LDDWD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Rapid — Match Preview

CFR 1907 Cluj face Rapid on December 5, 2026 in this Liga I fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.