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CFR 1907 Cluj vs Rapid — Liga I 2018

CFR 1907 Cluj
CFR 1907 Cluj
FT
3 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Rapid
Rapid
11/23/2025Liga ILiga I · Round 17Gruia Stadionul

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 99+ matches

CFR 1907 Cluj51%
×Draw26%
Rapid24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.54
Rapid
0.97

CFR 1907 Cluj creates 59% more chances

Season form · 156 home / 99 away

creates per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
1.81
Rapid
1.21

allows per match

CFR 1907 Cluj
0.74
Rapid
1.26

finishing

CFR 1907 Cluj+0.00on par
Rapid+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CFR 1907 Cluj ↓

Rapid →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–18%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

CFR 1907 Cluj or draw
76%
CFR 1907 Cluj or Rapid
74%
Draw or Rapid
49%

Winning margin

CFR 1907 Cluj wins by 2+
26%
Rapid wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

CFR 1907 Cluj 1+ goals
79%
CFR 1907 Cluj 2+ goals
45%
CFR 1907 Cluj 3+ goals
20%
Rapid 1+ goals
62%
Rapid 2+ goals
25%
Rapid 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

CFR 1907 Cluj (draw refunded)
68%
Rapid (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CFR 1907 Cluj at home — creates 1.81, concedes 0.74 · 156 matches

Rapid away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.26 · 99 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CFR 1907 Cluj attack 1.81 + Rapid defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.54

Rapid attack 1.21 + CFR 1907 Cluj defence 0.74 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

CFR 1907 Cluj scores more
51%
level
26%
Rapid scores more
24%

CFR 1907 Cluj at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "CFR 1907 Cluj will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Rapid

CFR 1907 Cluj beat Rapid 3-0 in Liga I on November 23, 2025.

The match was played at Gruia Stadionul in Cluj-Napoca.