Scoreo

Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo CoopsolSegunda División 2026

Cesar Vallejo
Cesar Vallejo
FT
00
HT: 00
Deportivo Coopsol
Deportivo Coopsol
4/8/2018Segunda DivisiónSegunda División · Round 1Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 31+ matches

Cesar Vallejo54%
×Draw24%
Deportivo Coopsol22%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Cesar Vallejo
1.69
Deportivo Coopsol
0.97

Cesar Vallejo creates 74% more chances

Season form · 31 home / 91 away

creates per match

Cesar Vallejo
1.74
Deportivo Coopsol
1.18

allows per match

Cesar Vallejo
0.77
Deportivo Coopsol
1.63

finishing

Cesar Vallejo+0.00on par
Deportivo Coopsol+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cesar Vallejo

Deportivo Coopsol
0
1
2
3
4
0
007%
017%
023%
031%
040%
1
1012%
1111%
126%
132%
140%
2
2010%
2110%
225%
232%
240%
3
306%
315%
323%
331%
340%
4
402%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Cesar Vallejo or draw
78%
Cesar Vallejo or Deportivo Coopsol
76%
Draw or Deportivo Coopsol
46%

Winning margin

Cesar Vallejo wins by 2+
30%
Deportivo Coopsol wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Cesar Vallejo 1+ goals
82%
Cesar Vallejo 2+ goals
50%
Cesar Vallejo 3+ goals
24%
Deportivo Coopsol 1+ goals
62%
Deportivo Coopsol 2+ goals
25%
Deportivo Coopsol 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Cesar Vallejo (draw refunded)
71%
Deportivo Coopsol (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cesar Vallejo at homecreates 1.74, concedes 0.77 · 31 matches

Deportivo Coopsol awaycreates 1.18, concedes 1.63 · 91 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cesar Vallejo attack 1.74 + Deportivo Coopsol defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.69

Deportivo Coopsol attack 1.18 + Cesar Vallejo defence 0.77 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Cesar Vallejo scores more
54%
level
24%
Deportivo Coopsol scores more
22%

Cesar Vallejo at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Cesar Vallejo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Cesar
Deportivo
J. del Solar
Manager: J. del Solar
61'A. BenítesJ. Ríos
67'A. GordilloR. García
82'S. StelcaldoC. Orejuela

Cesar Vallejo substitutes

M. Asteggiano
Manager: M. Asteggiano
62'I. PlasenciaE. Silva
66'E. SalazarP. Bautista
78'K. RosellA. Robles

Deportivo Coopsol substitutes

Cesar Vallejo 0 – 0 Deportivo Coopsol

Cesar Vallejo and Deportivo Coopsol drew 0-0 in Segunda División on April 8, 2018.

The match was played at Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo).