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Central Cordoba vs Defensores de Cambaceres — Primera C 2026

Central Cordoba
Central Cordoba
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Defensores de Cambaceres
Defensores de Cambaceres
7/26/2024Primera CPrimera C · Clausura - 4Estadio Gabino Sosa

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 54+ matches

Central Cordoba44%
×Draw31%
Defensores de Cambaceres25%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Central Cordoba
1.14
Defensores de Cambaceres
0.77

Central Cordoba creates 48% more chances

Season form · 143 home / 54 away

creates per match

Central Cordoba
1.13
Defensores de Cambaceres
0.70

allows per match

Central Cordoba
0.84
Defensores de Cambaceres
1.15

finishing

Central Cordoba+0.00on par
Defensores de Cambaceres+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Under
  • Under70
  • Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Central Cordoba ↓

Defensores de Cambaceres →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–015%
0–111%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
85%15%1.5
57%43%2.5
30%70%3.5
13%87%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Central Cordoba or draw
75%
Central Cordoba or Defensores de Cambaceres
69%
Draw or Defensores de Cambaceres
56%

Winning margin

Central Cordoba wins by 2+
19%
Defensores de Cambaceres wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Central Cordoba 1+ goals
68%
Central Cordoba 2+ goals
32%
Central Cordoba 3+ goals
11%
Defensores de Cambaceres 1+ goals
54%
Defensores de Cambaceres 2+ goals
18%
Defensores de Cambaceres 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Central Cordoba (draw refunded)
64%
Defensores de Cambaceres (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Central Cordoba at home — creates 1.13, concedes 0.84 · 143 matches

Defensores de Cambaceres away — creates 0.70, concedes 1.15 · 54 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Central Cordoba attack 1.13 + Defensores de Cambaceres defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.14

Defensores de Cambaceres attack 0.70 + Central Cordoba defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 0.77

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Central Cordoba scores more
44%
level
31%
Defensores de Cambaceres scores more
25%

Central Cordoba at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Central Cordoba will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Central Cordoba vs Defensores de Cambaceres

Central Cordoba and Defensores de Cambaceres drew 0-0 in Primera C on July 26, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio Gabino Sosa in Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe.