Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Central Coast United vs St. George Saints — New South Wales NPL 2 2026

Central Coast United
Central Coast United
FT
1 – 6
St. George Saints
St. George Saints
8/12/2023New South Wales NPL 2New South Wales NPL 2 · Round 28Pluim Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Central Coast United27%
×Draw21%
St. George Saints52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Central Coast United
1.50
St. George Saints
2.13

St. George Saints creates 42% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 34 away

creates per match

Central Coast United
1.07
St. George Saints
1.79

allows per match

Central Coast United
2.47
St. George Saints
1.94

finishing

Central Coast United+0.00on par
St. George Saints+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Central Coast United ↓

St. George Saints →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Central Coast United or draw
48%
Central Coast United or St. George Saints
79%
Draw or St. George Saints
73%

Winning margin

Central Coast United wins by 2+
12%
St. George Saints wins by 2+
31%

Team goals

Central Coast United 1+ goals
78%
Central Coast United 2+ goals
44%
Central Coast United 3+ goals
19%
St. George Saints 1+ goals
88%
St. George Saints 2+ goals
63%
St. George Saints 3+ goals
35%

Draw no bet

Central Coast United (draw refunded)
34%
St. George Saints (draw refunded)
66%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Central Coast United at home — creates 1.07, concedes 2.47 · 15 matches

St. George Saints away — creates 1.79, concedes 1.94 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Central Coast United attack 1.07 + St. George Saints defence 1.94 → ÷2 → 1.50

St. George Saints attack 1.79 + Central Coast United defence 2.47 → ÷2 → 2.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Central Coast United scores more
27%
level
21%
St. George Saints scores more
52%

St. George Saints at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "St. George Saints will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

New South Wales NPL 2: Central Coast United 1–6 St. George Saints

St. George Saints beat Central Coast United 6-1 in New South Wales NPL 2 on August 12, 2023.

The match was played at Pluim Park in Lisarow.