Cardiff 3–2 Huddersfield: Result & Stats

Cardiff

FT

3 – 2

HT: 1 – 0

Huddersfield

I. Davies 86'

Y. Salech 62', 6'

J. Taylor 89'

L. Castledine 51'

12/6/2025

League One · Round 16Cardiff City Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 23+ matches

Cardiff54%

×Draw23%

Huddersfield24%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

CardiffExpected goals in this matchHuddersfield

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.89

1.19

Cardiff

1.89

Huddersfield

1.19

Cardiff creates 59% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 23 away

2.17

creates per match

1.39

1.00

allows per match

1.61

creates per match

Cardiff

2.17

Huddersfield

1.39

allows per match

Cardiff

1.00

Huddersfield

1.61

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Cardiff+0.00on par

Huddersfield+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Cardiff ↓

Huddersfield →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–15%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–09%

1–110%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–16%

3–24%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

37%63%4.5

20%80%

Double chance

Cardiff or draw

76%

Cardiff or Huddersfield

77%

Draw or Huddersfield

46%

Winning margin

Cardiff wins by 2+

31%

Huddersfield wins by 2+

9%

Team goals

Cardiff 1+ goals

85%

Cardiff 2+ goals

56%

Cardiff 3+ goals

29%

Huddersfield 1+ goals

70%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

33%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Cardiff (draw refunded)

69%

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Cardiff at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.00 · 23 matches

Huddersfield away — creates 1.39, concedes 1.61 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Cardiff attack 2.17 + Huddersfield defence 1.61 → ÷2 → 1.89

Huddersfield attack 1.39 + Cardiff defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Cardiff scores more

54%

level

23%

Huddersfield scores more

24%

Cardiff at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Cardiff will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

22

Y. Salech

Cardiff · F

8.9

Match Events

6'

Y. Salech↳ J. Bagan

45+2'

Joel Bagan

51'

L. Castledine↳ M. Harness

59'

J. Colwill← O. Kellyman

59'

A. Robertson← D. Turnbull

60'

I. Davies← C. Willock

62'

Y. Salech↳ C. Ashford

65'

J. Taylor← D. Charles

65'

C. Ashia← L. Castledine

73'

Ryan Ledson

78'

M. Wallace← R. Balker

78'

A. May← B. Radulovic

83'

R. Kpakio← P. Ng

86'

I. Davies↳ Y. Salech

87'

D. Kasumu← M. Harness

88'

C. Robinson← C. Ashford

89'

J. Taylor

90+6'

Alex Robertson

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

CardiffHuddersfield

Overview

59%Possession41%

15Total Shots13

4Corners9

8Fouls13

Shots

15Total Shots13

8On Target3

3Off Target3

4Blocked7

8Inside Box10

7Outside Box3

Passing

59%Possession41%

537Total Passes347

465Accurate Passes269

87%Pass Accuracy78%

Goalkeeping

1Saves5

Discipline

8Fouls13

2Yellow Cards1

2Offsides2

Match Recap: Cardiff vs Huddersfield

Cardiff beat Huddersfield 3-2 in League One on December 6, 2025.

Goals: Y. Salech (6', 62'), L. Castledine (51'), I. Davies (86'), J. Taylor (89').

Cardiff controlled possession (59%) and registered 15 shots to 13.

The match was played at Cardiff City Stadium in Cardiff.

Cardiff vs Huddersfield — League One 2025

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Cardiff vs Huddersfield