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Çankaya FK vs Çorluspor 1947 — League #552 2026

Çankaya FK
Çankaya FK
FT
1 – 4
HT: 0 – 1
Çorluspor 1947
Çorluspor 1947
T. Akpinar 66'
E. Kayar 90+8'
M. Khalil 55', 26'
K. Yagci 53'
3/29/2026League #552League #552 · Group 1 - 27Osmanlı Stadı

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Çankaya FK19%
×Draw18%
Çorluspor 194763%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Çankaya FK
1.38
Çorluspor 1947
2.60

Çorluspor 1947 creates 88% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 3 away

creates per match

Çankaya FK
1.42
Çorluspor 1947
3.67

allows per match

Çankaya FK
1.53
Çorluspor 1947
1.33

finishing

Çankaya FK+0.00on par
Çorluspor 1947+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Çankaya FK ↓

Çorluspor 1947 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–26%
0–36%
0–44%
1
1–03%
1–17%
1–29%
1–38%
1–45%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–23%
3–32%
3–42%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
36%64%

Double chance

Çankaya FK or draw
37%
Çankaya FK or Çorluspor 1947
82%
Draw or Çorluspor 1947
81%

Winning margin

Çankaya FK wins by 2+
8%
Çorluspor 1947 wins by 2+
42%

Team goals

Çankaya FK 1+ goals
75%
Çankaya FK 2+ goals
40%
Çankaya FK 3+ goals
16%
Çorluspor 1947 1+ goals
92%
Çorluspor 1947 2+ goals
73%
Çorluspor 1947 3+ goals
47%

Draw no bet

Çankaya FK (draw refunded)
23%
Çorluspor 1947 (draw refunded)
77%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Çankaya FK at home — creates 1.42, concedes 1.53 · 19 matches

Çorluspor 1947 away — creates 3.67, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Çankaya FK attack 1.42 + Çorluspor 1947 defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.38

Çorluspor 1947 attack 3.67 + Çankaya FK defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 2.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Çankaya FK scores more
19%
level
18%
Çorluspor 1947 scores more
63%

Çorluspor 1947 at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Çorluspor 1947 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

26'
M. Khalil↳ M. Capkan
53'
K. Yagci↳ E. Cavus
55'
M. Khalil↳ F. Ozler
66'
T. Akpinar
80'
M. Capkan
90+8'
E. Kayar

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League #552: Çankaya FK 1–4 Çorluspor 1947

Çorluspor 1947 beat Çankaya FK 4-1 in League #552 on March 29, 2026.

Goals: M. Khalil (26', 55'), K. Yagci (53'), T. Akpinar (66'), E. Kayar (90+8').

The match was played at Osmanlı Stadı in Ankara.