Scoreo

Çankaya FK vs Beykoz İshaklısporLeague #552 2026

4/12/2026League #552League #552 · Group 1 - 29Osmanlı Stadı

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Çankaya FK40%
×Draw25%
Beykoz İshaklıspor34%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Çankaya FK
1.46
Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.33

Çankaya FK creates 10% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 8 away

creates per match

Çankaya FK
1.42
Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.13

allows per match

Çankaya FK
1.53
Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.50

finishing

Çankaya FK+0.00on par
Beykoz İshaklıspor+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Çankaya FK

Beykoz İshaklıspor
0
1
2
3
4
0
006%
018%
025%
032%
041%
1
109%
1112%
128%
134%
141%
2
207%
219%
226%
233%
241%
3
303%
314%
323%
331%
340%
4
401%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Çankaya FK or draw
66%
Çankaya FK or Beykoz İshaklıspor
75%
Draw or Beykoz İshaklıspor
60%

Winning margin

Çankaya FK wins by 2+
19%
Beykoz İshaklıspor wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Çankaya FK 1+ goals
77%
Çankaya FK 2+ goals
43%
Çankaya FK 3+ goals
18%
Beykoz İshaklıspor 1+ goals
74%
Beykoz İshaklıspor 2+ goals
38%
Beykoz İshaklıspor 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Çankaya FK (draw refunded)
54%
Beykoz İshaklıspor (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Çankaya FK at homecreates 1.42, concedes 1.53 · 19 matches

Beykoz İshaklıspor awaycreates 1.13, concedes 1.50 · 8 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Çankaya FK attack 1.42 + Beykoz İshaklıspor defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.46

Beykoz İshaklıspor attack 1.13 + Çankaya FK defence 1.53 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Çankaya FK scores more
40%
level
25%
Beykoz İshaklıspor scores more
34%

Çankaya FK at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Çankaya FK will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Çankaya FK vs Beykoz İshaklıspor

Çankaya FK and Beykoz İshaklıspor drew 0-0 in League #552 on April 12, 2026.

The match was played at Osmanlı Stadı in Ankara.