Scoreo

Beykoz İshaklıspor vs Çankaya FKLeague #552 2026

12/16/2025League #552League #552 · Group 1 - 14Alemdağ Stadyumu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Beykoz İshaklıspor41%
×Draw28%
Çankaya FK32%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.29
Çankaya FK
1.10

Beykoz İshaklıspor creates 17% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 19 away

creates per match

Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.25
Çankaya FK
1.21

allows per match

Beykoz İshaklıspor
1.00
Çankaya FK
1.32

finishing

Beykoz İshaklıspor+0.00on par
Çankaya FK+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%No
  • No52
  • Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beykoz İshaklıspor

Çankaya FK
0
1
2
3
4
0
009%
0110%
026%
032%
041%
1
1012%
1113%
127%
133%
141%
2
208%
218%
225%
232%
240%
3
303%
314%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Beykoz İshaklıspor or draw
68%
Beykoz İshaklıspor or Çankaya FK
72%
Draw or Çankaya FK
59%

Winning margin

Beykoz İshaklıspor wins by 2+
18%
Çankaya FK wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Beykoz İshaklıspor 1+ goals
72%
Beykoz İshaklıspor 2+ goals
37%
Beykoz İshaklıspor 3+ goals
14%
Çankaya FK 1+ goals
67%
Çankaya FK 2+ goals
30%
Çankaya FK 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Beykoz İshaklıspor (draw refunded)
56%
Çankaya FK (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beykoz İshaklıspor at homecreates 1.25, concedes 1.00 · 8 matches

Çankaya FK awaycreates 1.21, concedes 1.32 · 19 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beykoz İshaklıspor attack 1.25 + Çankaya FK defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.29

Çankaya FK attack 1.21 + Beykoz İshaklıspor defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.10

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Beykoz İshaklıspor scores more
41%
level
28%
Çankaya FK scores more
32%

Beykoz İshaklıspor at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Beykoz İshaklıspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Beykoz İshaklıspor 0 – 0 Çankaya FK

Beykoz İshaklıspor and Çankaya FK drew 0-0 in League #552 on December 16, 2025.

The match was played at Alemdağ Stadyumu in İstanbul.