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CA Estudiantes vs Talleres Remedios — Primera B Metropolitana 2026

CA Estudiantes
CA Estudiantes
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Talleres Remedios
Talleres Remedios
D. Figueroa 77'
J. Ruiz Gómez 39'
2/22/2019Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B Metropolitana · Round 25Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Caseros, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 24+ matches

CA Estudiantes47%
×Draw28%
Talleres Remedios24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

CA Estudiantes
1.32
Talleres Remedios
0.86

CA Estudiantes creates 53% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 99 away

creates per match

CA Estudiantes
1.71
Talleres Remedios
0.97

allows per match

CA Estudiantes
0.75
Talleres Remedios
0.94

finishing

CA Estudiantes+0.00on par
Talleres Remedios+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

CA Estudiantes ↓

Talleres Remedios →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

CA Estudiantes or draw
76%
CA Estudiantes or Talleres Remedios
72%
Draw or Talleres Remedios
53%

Winning margin

CA Estudiantes wins by 2+
22%
Talleres Remedios wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

CA Estudiantes 1+ goals
73%
CA Estudiantes 2+ goals
38%
CA Estudiantes 3+ goals
15%
Talleres Remedios 1+ goals
58%
Talleres Remedios 2+ goals
21%
Talleres Remedios 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

CA Estudiantes (draw refunded)
66%
Talleres Remedios (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

CA Estudiantes at home — creates 1.71, concedes 0.75 · 24 matches

Talleres Remedios away — creates 0.97, concedes 0.94 · 99 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

CA Estudiantes attack 1.71 + Talleres Remedios defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.32

Talleres Remedios attack 0.97 + CA Estudiantes defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.86

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

CA Estudiantes scores more
47%
level
28%
Talleres Remedios scores more
24%

CA Estudiantes at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "CA Estudiantes will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

39'
J. Ruiz Gómez
77'
D. Figueroa

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: CA Estudiantes vs Talleres Remedios

CA Estudiantes beat Talleres Remedios 2-0 in Primera B Metropolitana on February 22, 2019.

Goals: J. Ruiz Gómez (39'), D. Figueroa (77').

The match was played at Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Caseros, Provincia de Buenos Aires).