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Bulle vs Stade Nyonnais — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Bulle
Bulle
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
7/5/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Stade de Bouleyres

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Bulle46%
×Draw21%
Stade Nyonnais33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bulle
2.13
Stade Nyonnais
1.79

Bulle creates 19% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Bulle
2.00
Stade Nyonnais
1.25

allows per match

Bulle
2.33
Stade Nyonnais
2.25

finishing

Bulle+0.00on par
Stade Nyonnais+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bulle ↓

Stade Nyonnais →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

Bulle or draw
67%
Bulle or Stade Nyonnais
79%
Draw or Stade Nyonnais
54%

Winning margin

Bulle wins by 2+
26%
Stade Nyonnais wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Bulle 1+ goals
88%
Bulle 2+ goals
63%
Bulle 3+ goals
35%
Stade Nyonnais 1+ goals
83%
Stade Nyonnais 2+ goals
53%
Stade Nyonnais 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Bulle (draw refunded)
58%
Stade Nyonnais (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
66%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bulle at home — creates 2.00, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

Stade Nyonnais away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.25 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bulle attack 2.00 + Stade Nyonnais defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.13

Stade Nyonnais attack 1.25 + Bulle defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Bulle scores more
46%
level
21%
Stade Nyonnais scores more
33%

Bulle at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Bulle will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bulle vs Stade Nyonnais

Bulle beat Stade Nyonnais 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 5, 2024.

The match was played at Stade de Bouleyres in Bulle.